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Result: Colombia 0-0 Portugal

World Cup 2026 ·

WORLDCUPFT
Colombia

Colombia

0–0
Portugal

Portugal

✓ Pick WON — Colombia or draw

locked · 230h 47m before kickoff

Full track record →

What happened

Colombia drew with Portugal 0-0.

The market priced Portugal as favorite at 50.9% — it didn't hold. The final score carried a 7.7% model probability.

The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.

What the market said before kickoff

Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Portugal at 50.9% — it didn't hold.

Portugal
50.9%
2.00
Draw
25.4%
4.00
Colombia
23.7%
4.30

Best odds per outcome · 1xBet

What the model said about the score

These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 0-0 (the model gave it 7.7%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.

Colombia – Portugal

  1. 0–1
    12.2%
  2. 1–1
    12.0%
  3. 0–2
    9.6%
Both teams score: 49.7%Over 2.5 goals: 47.2%Expected goals: 2.6

Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.

How the line moved

Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.

28/5today

Colombia27.5% → 24.1%▼ 3.4

Draw28.8% → 26.1%▼ 2.7

Portugal43.7% → 49.8%▲ 6.1

26 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed

Edgely's pick

PropColombia or draw
✓ GANADO★★★★★1.22
totalover 1.5
✗ PERDIDO★★★★★1.25
Propover 2.5 cards
✗ PERDIDO★★★★1.47

All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.

★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·

Recent form

Colombia

WW

Goals: 2.0 for · 0.5 against (avg)

Portugal

DW

Goals: 3.0 for · 0.5 against (avg)

Full stats & AI analysis →

Group standings

Group K

  1. 1ColombiaColombia3+37
  2. 2PortugalPortugal3+55
  3. 3Congo DRCongo DR3+14
  4. 4UzbekistanUzbekistan3-90

Players to watch

Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.

Colombia

  • J. Quintero

    J. Quintero

    Midfielder · America de Cali

    7.49

    at the World Cup

    0+1

    G+A

  • J. Campaz

    J. Campaz

    Midfielder · Rosario Central

    7.44

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • S. Arias

    S. Arias

    Defender · Bahia

    7.3

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

Portugal

  • Gonçalo Inácio

    Gonçalo Inácio

    Defender · Sporting CP

    7.59

    Primeira Liga

    3+3

    G+A

  • Bruno Fernandes

    Bruno Fernandes

    Midfielder · Manchester United

    7.58

    at the World Cup

    0+1

    G+A

  • Nuno Mendes

    Nuno Mendes

    Defender · Paris Saint Germain

    7.49

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

FAQ

What was the final score of Colombia vs Portugal?+

It ended Colombia 0-0 Portugal at the 2026 World Cup.

Who was the favorite in Colombia vs Portugal?+

The market had Portugal as favorite at 50.9% implied probability — the favorite didn't hold.

When was Colombia vs Portugal played?+

It was played on Saturday 27 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.

Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+

Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.

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