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Colombia vs Portugal

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Model prediction

Portugal wins

or double chance X2

58%·★★★★☆Portugal

Overall analysis · win probability

24.8%

1

Colombia

16.8%

X

Empate

58.4%

2

Portugal

Ventaja: Portugal (+33.6%)

ColombiaPortugal

  1. 12
    6.1%
  2. 13
    6.1%
  3. 22
    6.1%
Both teams score: 82.2%Over 2.5 goals: 87.5%Expected goals: 5.0

Poisson distribution over each team's goal averages. Transparent method — not a promise.

Colombia

  • J. Quintero

    J. Quintero

    Midfielder · America de Cali

    7.49

    at the World Cup

    0+1

    G+A

  • J. Campaz

    J. Campaz

    Midfielder · Rosario Central

    7.44

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • S. Arias

    S. Arias

    Defender · Bahia

    7.3

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

Portugal

  • Gonçalo Inácio

    Gonçalo Inácio

    Defender · Sporting CP

    7.59

    Primeira Liga

    3+3

    G+A

  • Bruno Fernandes

    Bruno Fernandes

    Midfielder · Manchester United

    7.58

    at the World Cup

    0+1

    G+A

  • Nuno Mendes

    Nuno Mendes

    Defender · Paris Saint Germain

    7.49

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

Recommendation

No draw: either side wins

Confidence: ★★★★★ · 83% prob

Team comparison

FormAttackDefenseGoalsHistoricalPoisson
ColombiaPortugal

Breakdown by dimension

100%

Colombia

Form

vs

75%

Portugal

100%

Colombia

Attack

vs

100%

Portugal

75%

Colombia

Defense

vs

75%

Portugal

88%

Colombia

Goals

vs

100%

Portugal

50%

Colombia

H2H

vs

50%

Portugal

25%

Colombia

Poisson

vs

58%

Portugal