Colombia vs Portugal
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Colombia
Portugal
Match analysis view — no locked pick
Model prediction
Portugal wins
or double chance X2
Colombia – Portugal
- 1–26.1%
- 1–36.1%
- 2–26.1%
Poisson distribution over each team's goal averages. Transparent method — not a promise.
Colombia
J. Quintero
Midfielder · America de Cali
7.49
at the World Cup
0+1
G+A
J. Campaz
Midfielder · Rosario Central
7.44
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
S. Arias
Defender · Bahia
7.3
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
Portugal
Gonçalo Inácio
Defender · Sporting CP
7.59
Primeira Liga
3+3
G+A
Bruno Fernandes
Midfielder · Manchester United
7.58
at the World Cup
0+1
G+A
Nuno Mendes
Defender · Paris Saint Germain
7.49
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
Overall analysis · win probability
24.8%
1
Colombia
16.8%
X
Empate
58.4%
2
Portugal
Ventaja: Portugal (+33.6%)
Recommendation
No draw: either side wins
Confidence: ★★★★★ · 83% prob
Team comparison
Breakdown by dimension
100%
Colombia
Form
vs
75%
Portugal
100%
Colombia
Attack
vs
100%
Portugal
75%
Colombia
Defense
vs
75%
Portugal
88%
Colombia
Goals
vs
100%
Portugal
50%
Colombia
H2H
vs
50%
Portugal
25%
Colombia
Poisson
vs
58%
Portugal