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Ecuador vs Curaçao

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Model prediction

Ecuador wins

or double chance 1X

88%·★★★★★Ecuador

Overall analysis · win probability

87.6%

1

Ecuador

9.2%

X

Empate

3.2%

2

Curaçao

Ventaja: Ecuador (+78.4%)

EcuadorCuraçao

  1. 20
    16.0%
  2. 30
    15.3%
  3. 10
    11.1%
Both teams score: 30.4%Over 2.5 goals: 63.2%Expected goals: 3.3

Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (3.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.

Ecuador

  • G. Valle

    G. Valle

    Goalkeeper · LDU de Quito

    7.63

    CONMEBOL Libertadores

    0+0

    G+A

  • M. Caicedo

    M. Caicedo

    Midfielder · Chelsea

    7.5

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

  • P. Vite

    P. Vite

    Midfielder · U.N.A.M. - Pumas

    7.48

    at the World Cup

    0+1

    G+A

Curaçao

  • K. Felida

    K. Felida

    Midfielder · Den Bosch

    7.3

    Eerste Divisie

    4+3

    G+A

  • E. Room

    E. Room

    Goalkeeper · Cercle Brugge

    7.23

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

  • J. Margaritha

    J. Margaritha

    Attacker · Phoenix Rising

    6.98

    US Open Cup

    19+17

    G+A

Recommendation

Double chance: Ecuador or draw

Confidence: ★★★★★ · 97% prob

Team comparison

FormAttackDefenseGoalsHistoricalPoisson
EcuadorCuraçao

Breakdown by dimension

0%

Ecuador

Form

vs

0%

Curaçao

0%

Ecuador

Attack

vs

50%

Curaçao

50%

Ecuador

Defense

vs

0%

Curaçao

25%

Ecuador

Goals

vs

-100%

Curaçao

0%

Ecuador

H2H

vs

0%

Curaçao

0%

Ecuador

Poisson

vs

63%

Curaçao