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Norway vs England

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Model prediction

Norway wins

or double chance 1X

44%·★★★☆☆Norway

Overall analysis · win probability

44.0%

1

Norway

19.1%

X

Empate

36.8%

2

England

Ventaja: Norway (+7.2%)

NorwayEngland

  1. 22
    7.0%
  2. 21
    6.4%
  3. 12
    5.9%
Both teams score: 80.9%Over 2.5 goals: 83.7%Expected goals: 4.6

Poisson distribution over each team's goal averages. Transparent method — not a promise.

Norway

  • E. Haaland

    E. Haaland

    Attacker · Manchester City

    8.35

    at the World Cup

    7+0

    G+A

  • T. Aasgaard

    T. Aasgaard

    Midfielder · Rangers

    7.9

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • J. Hauge

    J. Hauge

    Midfielder · Bodo/Glimt

    7.64

    Eliteserien

    14+9

    G+A

England

  • J. Bellingham

    J. Bellingham

    Midfielder · Real Madrid

    7.82

    at the World Cup

    4+1

    G+A

  • H. Kane

    H. Kane

    Attacker · Bayern München

    7.6

    at the World Cup

    6+1

    G+A

  • E. Anderson

    E. Anderson

    Midfielder · Nottingham Forest

    7.4

    at the World Cup

    0+1

    G+A

Recommendation

No draw: either side wins

Confidence: ★★★★★ · 81% prob

Team comparison

FormAttackDefenseGoalsHistoricalPoisson
NorwayEngland

Breakdown by dimension

80%

Norway

Form

vs

90%

England

100%

Norway

Attack

vs

100%

England

10%

Norway

Defense

vs

50%

England

65%

Norway

Goals

vs

80%

England

0%

Norway

H2H

vs

40%

England

44%

Norway

Poisson

vs

37%

England