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England vs Croatia

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Model prediction

England wins

or double chance 1X

56%·★★★★☆England

Overall analysis · win probability

56.4%

1

England

25.4%

X

Empate

18.2%

2

Croatia

Ventaja: England (+31.0%)

EnglandCroatia

  1. 10
    13.9%
  2. 11
    11.5%
  3. 20
    11.4%
Both teams score: 45.3%Over 2.5 goals: 44.8%Expected goals: 2.5

Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.

England

  • J. Bellingham

    J. Bellingham

    Midfielder · Real Madrid

    7.79

    at the World Cup

    7+1

    G+A

  • B. Saka

    B. Saka

    Attacker · Arsenal

    7.6

    at the World Cup

    3+3

    G+A

  • D. Rice

    D. Rice

    Midfielder · Arsenal

    7.39

    at the World Cup

    1+2

    G+A

Croatia

  • P. Sucic

    P. Sucic

    Midfielder · Inter

    7.21

    at the World Cup

    1+1

    G+A

  • P. Musa

    P. Musa

    Attacker · FC Dallas

    7.18

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • M. Baturina

    M. Baturina

    Midfielder · Como

    7.17

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

Recommendation

Double chance: England or draw

Confidence: ★★★★★ · 82% prob

Team comparison

Not enough data for team analysis.

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