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Ivory Coast vs Ecuador

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Model prediction

Ecuador wins

or double chance X2

38%·★★☆☆☆Ecuador

Overall analysis · win probability

28.7%

1

Ivory Coast

33.5%

X

Empate

37.8%

2

Ecuador

Ventaja: Ecuador (+4.3%)

Ivory CoastEcuador

  1. 01
    14.5%
  2. 11
    13.4%
  3. 00
    13.3%
Both teams score: 40.2%Over 2.5 goals: 32.9%Expected goals: 2.0

Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (1.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.

Ivory Coast

  • I. Sangaré

    I. Sangaré

    Midfielder · Nottingham Forest

    7.67

    at the World Cup

    0+1

    G+A

  • Y. Diomande

    Y. Diomande

    Midfielder · RB Leipzig

    7.59

    at the World Cup

    0+1

    G+A

  • A. Diallo

    A. Diallo

    Attacker · Manchester United

    7.29

    at the World Cup

    2+0

    G+A

Ecuador

  • G. Valle

    G. Valle

    Goalkeeper · LDU de Quito

    7.63

    CONMEBOL Libertadores

    0+0

    G+A

  • M. Caicedo

    M. Caicedo

    Midfielder · Chelsea

    7.5

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

  • P. Vite

    P. Vite

    Midfielder · U.N.A.M. - Pumas

    7.48

    at the World Cup

    0+1

    G+A

Recommendation

Double chance: Ecuador or draw

Confidence: ★★★★☆ · 71% prob

Team comparison

Not enough data for team analysis.

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