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Netherlands vs Sweden

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Model prediction

Sweden wins

or double chance X2

82%·★★★★★Sweden

Overall analysis · win probability

9.2%

1

Netherlands

8.9%

X

Empate

81.9%

2

Sweden

Ventaja: Sweden (+72.7%)

NetherlandsSweden

  1. 14
    5.5%
  2. 15
    5.5%
  3. 24
    5.5%
Both teams score: 85.9%Over 2.5 goals: 97.0%Expected goals: 7.0

Poisson distribution over each team's goal averages. Transparent method — not a promise.

Netherlands

  • C. Summerville

    C. Summerville

    Attacker · West Ham

    7.67

    at the World Cup

    2+2

    G+A

  • J. van Hecke

    J. van Hecke

    Defender · Brighton

    7.64

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • C. Gakpo

    C. Gakpo

    Attacker · Liverpool

    7.41

    at the World Cup

    3+1

    G+A

Sweden

  • J. Widell Zetterström

    J. Widell Zetterström

    Goalkeeper · Derby

    7.95

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

  • Y. Ayari

    Y. Ayari

    Midfielder · Brighton

    7.27

    at the World Cup

    2+0

    G+A

  • H. Johansson

    H. Johansson

    Midfielder · Mjallby AIF

    7.24

    Allsvenskan

    7+8

    G+A

Recommendation

No draw: either side wins

Confidence: ★★★★★ · 91% prob

Team comparison

FormAttackDefenseGoalsHistoricalPoisson
NetherlandsSweden

Breakdown by dimension

50%

Netherlands

Form

vs

100%

Sweden

100%

Netherlands

Attack

vs

100%

Sweden

0%

Netherlands

Defense

vs

50%

Sweden

50%

Netherlands

Goals

vs

100%

Sweden

50%

Netherlands

H2H

vs

0%

Sweden

9%

Netherlands

Poisson

vs

82%

Sweden