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Uruguay vs Cape Verde

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Model prediction

Uruguay wins

or double chance 1X

67%·★★★★★Uruguay

Overall analysis · win probability

66.6%

1

Uruguay

22.7%

X

Empate

10.6%

2

Cape Verde

Ventaja: Uruguay (+43.9%)

UruguayCape Verde

  1. 10
    16.8%
  2. 20
    15.1%
  3. 11
    9.6%
Both teams score: 36.4%Over 2.5 goals: 42.3%Expected goals: 2.4

Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.

Uruguay

  • G. de Arrascaeta

    G. de Arrascaeta

    Midfielder · Flamengo

    7.73

    Serie A

    31+24

    G+A

  • M. Araújo

    M. Araújo

    Midfielder · Sporting CP

    7.41

    at the World Cup

    2+1

    G+A

  • R. Zalazar

    R. Zalazar

    Midfielder · SC Braga

    7.31

    Primeira Liga

    18+6

    G+A

Recommendation

Double chance: Uruguay or draw

Confidence: ★★★★★ · 89% prob

Team comparison

FormAttackDefenseGoalsHistoricalPoisson
UruguayCape Verde

Breakdown by dimension

50%

Uruguay

Form

vs

50%

Cape Verde

50%

Uruguay

Attack

vs

0%

Cape Verde

50%

Uruguay

Defense

vs

100%

Cape Verde

50%

Uruguay

Goals

vs

50%

Cape Verde

0%

Uruguay

H2H

vs

100%

Cape Verde

63%

Uruguay

Poisson

vs

0%

Cape Verde