Mexico vs South Korea
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Mexico wins
or double chance 1X
Overall analysis · win probability
39.6%
1
Mexico
20.7%
X
Empate
39.6%
2
South Korea
Mexico – South Korea
- 1–17.3%
- 1–27.3%
- 2–17.3%
Poisson distribution over each team's goal averages. Transparent method — not a promise.
Mexico
M. Chávez
Defender · AZ Alkmaar
8.2
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
J. Quiñones
Midfielder · Al-Qadisiyah FC
7.73
at the World Cup
4+1
G+A
A. Vega
Attacker · Toluca
7.57
Liga MX
4+14
G+A
South Korea
Lee Dong-Gyeong
Attacker · Gimcheon Sangmu FC
7.86
K League 1
9+7
G+A
Song Bum-Keun
Goalkeeper · Jeonbuk Motors
7.46
K League 1
0+0
G+A
Hwang In-Beom
Midfielder · Feyenoord
7.43
at the World Cup
1+1
G+A
Recommendation
No draw: either side wins
Confidence: ★★★★★ · 79% prob
Team comparison
Breakdown by dimension
100%
Mexico
Form
vs
100%
South Korea
100%
Mexico
Attack
vs
100%
South Korea
100%
Mexico
Defense
vs
50%
South Korea
100%
Mexico
Goals
vs
75%
South Korea
33%
Mexico
H2H
vs
33%
South Korea
40%
Mexico
Poisson
vs
40%
South Korea