Japan vs Sweden
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Japan wins
or double chance 1X
42%·★★★☆☆Japan
Overall analysis · win probability
41.6%
1
Japan
16.8%
X
Empate
41.6%
2
Sweden
Japan – Sweden
- 2–25.1%
- 2–35.1%
- 3–25.1%
Both teams score: 90.3%Over 2.5 goals: 93.8%Expected goals: 6.0
Poisson distribution over each team's goal averages. Transparent method — not a promise.
Japan
K. Itakura
Defender · Ajax
7.63
at the World Cup
0+1
G+A
T. Tomiyasu
Defender · Ajax
7.55
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
A. Tanaka
Midfielder · Leeds
7.33
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
Sweden
J. Widell Zetterström
Goalkeeper · Derby
7.95
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
Y. Ayari
Midfielder · Brighton
7.27
at the World Cup
2+0
G+A
H. Johansson
Midfielder · Mjallby AIF
7.24
Allsvenskan
7+8
G+A
Recommendation
No draw: either side wins
Confidence: ★★★★★ · 83% prob
Team comparison
JapanSweden
Breakdown by dimension
75%
Japan
Form
vs
50%
Sweden
100%
Japan
Attack
vs
100%
Sweden
50%
Japan
Defense
vs
0%
Sweden
100%
Japan
Goals
vs
50%
Sweden
50%
Japan
H2H
vs
0%
Sweden
42%
Japan
Poisson
vs
42%
Sweden