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USA vs Paraguay

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Model prediction

USA wins

or double chance 1X

47%·★★★☆☆USA

Overall analysis · win probability

46.9%

1

USA

28.9%

X

Empate

24.2%

2

Paraguay

Ventaja: USA (+18.0%)

USAParaguay

  1. 10
    13.2%
  2. 11
    12.6%
  3. 20
    9.4%
Both teams score: 46.6%Over 2.5 goals: 42.3%Expected goals: 2.4

Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.

USA

  • S. Berhalter

    S. Berhalter

    Midfielder · Vancouver Whitecaps

    7.53

    at the World Cup

    1+1

    G+A

  • C. Roldan

    C. Roldan

    Midfielder · Seattle Sounders

    7.52

    Major League Soccer

    2+4

    G+A

  • A. Freeman

    A. Freeman

    Defender · Orlando City SC

    7.46

    at the World Cup

    1+1

    G+A

Paraguay

  • O. Gill

    O. Gill

    Goalkeeper · San Lorenzo

    7.6

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

  • J. Canale

    J. Canale

    Defender · Lanus

    7.14

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

  • F. Balbuena

    F. Balbuena

    Defender · Gremio

    7.13

    Serie A

    1+0

    G+A

Recommendation

Double chance: USA or draw

Confidence: ★★★★☆ · 76% prob

Team comparison

Not enough data for team analysis.