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Mexico vs South Africa

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Model prediction

Mexico wins

or double chance 1X

68%·★★★★★Mexico

Overall analysis · win probability

68.4%

1

Mexico

21.2%

X

Empate

10.5%

2

South Africa

Ventaja: Mexico (+47.2%)

MexicoSouth Africa

  1. 10
    16.5%
  2. 20
    15.3%
  3. 30
    9.5%
Both teams score: 36.5%Over 2.5 goals: 43.7%Expected goals: 2.4

Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.

Mexico

  • M. Chávez

    M. Chávez

    Defender · AZ Alkmaar

    8.2

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • J. Quiñones

    J. Quiñones

    Midfielder · Al-Qadisiyah FC

    7.73

    at the World Cup

    4+1

    G+A

  • A. Vega

    A. Vega

    Attacker · Toluca

    7.57

    Liga MX

    4+14

    G+A

South Africa

  • S. Kabini

    S. Kabini

    Defender · Molde

    7.33

    Eliteserien

    1+3

    G+A

  • T. Matuludi

    T. Matuludi

    Defender · Polokwane City

    7.32

    Premier Soccer League

    2+0

    G+A

  • K. Sebelebele

    K. Sebelebele

    Midfielder · Orlando Pirates

    7.26

    Premier Soccer League

    5+1

    G+A

Recommendation

Double chance: Mexico or draw

Confidence: ★★★★★ · 90% prob

Team comparison

Not enough data for team analysis.

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