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Netherlands vs Japan

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Model prediction

Netherlands wins

or double chance 1X

47%·★★★☆☆Netherlands

Overall analysis · win probability

47.2%

1

Netherlands

27.1%

X

Empate

25.7%

2

Japan

Ventaja: Netherlands (+20.1%)

NetherlandsJapan

  1. 11
    12.2%
  2. 10
    11.4%
  3. 21
    9.3%
Both teams score: 51.5%Over 2.5 goals: 48.2%Expected goals: 2.6

Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.

Netherlands

  • C. Summerville

    C. Summerville

    Attacker · West Ham

    7.67

    at the World Cup

    2+2

    G+A

  • J. van Hecke

    J. van Hecke

    Defender · Brighton

    7.64

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • C. Gakpo

    C. Gakpo

    Attacker · Liverpool

    7.41

    at the World Cup

    3+1

    G+A

Japan

  • K. Itakura

    K. Itakura

    Defender · Ajax

    7.63

    at the World Cup

    0+1

    G+A

  • T. Tomiyasu

    T. Tomiyasu

    Defender · Ajax

    7.55

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

  • A. Tanaka

    A. Tanaka

    Midfielder · Leeds

    7.33

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

Recommendation

Double chance: Netherlands or draw

Confidence: ★★★★☆ · 74% prob

Team comparison

Not enough data for team analysis.

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