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New Zealand vs Belgium

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Model prediction

New Zealand wins

or double chance 1X

62%·★★★★★New Zealand

Overall analysis · win probability

62.1%

1

New Zealand

25.8%

X

Empate

12.2%

2

Belgium

Ventaja: New Zealand (+36.3%)

New ZealandBelgium

  1. 10
    20.3%
  2. 20
    15.2%
  3. 00
    13.5%
Both teams score: 30.6%Over 2.5 goals: 32.3%Expected goals: 2.0

Poisson distribution over each team's goal averages. Transparent method — not a promise.

New Zealand

  • E. Just

    E. Just

    Midfielder · Motherwell

    7.85

    at the World Cup

    3+0

    G+A

  • F. de Vries

    F. de Vries

    Defender · Auckland

    7.32

    A-League

    1+7

    G+A

  • A. Rufer

    A. Rufer

    Midfielder · Wellington Phoenix

    7.18

    A-League

    2+1

    G+A

Belgium

  • L. Trossard

    L. Trossard

    Midfielder · Arsenal

    7.72

    at the World Cup

    2+2

    G+A

  • Y. Tielemans

    Y. Tielemans

    Midfielder · Aston Villa

    7.48

    at the World Cup

    2+0

    G+A

  • N. Raskin

    N. Raskin

    Midfielder · Rangers

    7.34

    at the World Cup

    0+2

    G+A

Recommendation

Double chance: New Zealand or draw

Confidence: ★★★★★ · 88% prob

Team comparison

FormAttackDefenseGoalsHistoricalPoisson
New ZealandBelgium

Breakdown by dimension

25%

New Zealand

Form

vs

50%

Belgium

75%

New Zealand

Attack

vs

25%

Belgium

0%

New Zealand

Defense

vs

75%

Belgium

25%

New Zealand

Goals

vs

50%

Belgium

0%

New Zealand

H2H

vs

0%

Belgium

62%

New Zealand

Poisson

vs

12%

Belgium