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Paraguay vs Australia

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Model prediction

Paraguay wins

or double chance 1X

35%·★★☆☆☆Paraguay

Overall analysis · win probability

34.6%

1

Paraguay

30.9%

X

Empate

34.6%

2

Australia

Ventaja: Paraguay (+0.0%)

ParaguayAustralia

  1. 00
    13.5%
  2. 01
    13.5%
  3. 10
    13.5%
Both teams score: 40.0%Over 2.5 goals: 32.3%Expected goals: 2.0

Poisson distribution over each team's goal averages. Transparent method — not a promise.

Paraguay

  • O. Gill

    O. Gill

    Goalkeeper · San Lorenzo

    7.6

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

  • J. Canale

    J. Canale

    Defender · Lanus

    7.14

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

  • F. Balbuena

    F. Balbuena

    Defender · Gremio

    7.13

    Serie A

    1+0

    G+A

Australia

  • P. Beach

    P. Beach

    Goalkeeper · Melbourne City

    7.43

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

  • A. Circati

    A. Circati

    Defender · Parma

    7.42

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

  • J. Irvine

    J. Irvine

    Midfielder · FC St. Pauli

    7.25

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

Recommendation

No draw: either side wins

Confidence: ★★★★☆ · 69% prob

Team comparison

FormAttackDefenseGoalsHistoricalPoisson
ParaguayAustralia

Breakdown by dimension

50%

Paraguay

Form

vs

50%

Australia

50%

Paraguay

Attack

vs

50%

Australia

0%

Paraguay

Defense

vs

50%

Australia

25%

Paraguay

Goals

vs

50%

Australia

50%

Paraguay

H2H

vs

50%

Australia

35%

Paraguay

Poisson

vs

35%

Australia