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USA vs Australia

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Model prediction

USA wins

or double chance 1X

72%·★★★★★USA

Overall analysis · win probability

72.4%

1

USA

12.5%

X

Empate

15.1%

2

Australia

Ventaja: USA (+57.3%)

USAAustralia

  1. 31
    5.6%
  2. 32
    5.6%
  3. 41
    5.6%
Both teams score: 84.9%Over 2.5 goals: 93.8%Expected goals: 6.0

Poisson distribution over each team's goal averages. Transparent method — not a promise.

USA

  • S. Berhalter

    S. Berhalter

    Midfielder · Vancouver Whitecaps

    7.53

    at the World Cup

    1+1

    G+A

  • C. Roldan

    C. Roldan

    Midfielder · Seattle Sounders

    7.52

    Major League Soccer

    2+4

    G+A

  • A. Freeman

    A. Freeman

    Defender · Orlando City SC

    7.46

    at the World Cup

    1+1

    G+A

Australia

  • P. Beach

    P. Beach

    Goalkeeper · Melbourne City

    7.43

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

  • A. Circati

    A. Circati

    Defender · Parma

    7.42

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

  • J. Irvine

    J. Irvine

    Midfielder · FC St. Pauli

    7.25

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

Recommendation

No draw: either side wins

Confidence: ★★★★★ · 88% prob

Team comparison

FormAttackDefenseGoalsHistoricalPoisson
USAAustralia

Breakdown by dimension

100%

USA

Form

vs

100%

Australia

100%

USA

Attack

vs

100%

Australia

50%

USA

Defense

vs

100%

Australia

100%

USA

Goals

vs

100%

Australia

100%

USA

H2H

vs

0%

Australia

72%

USA

Poisson

vs

15%

Australia