Result: Spain 4-0 Saudi Arabia
World Cup 2026 ·
Spain
Saudi Arabia
✗ Pick LOST — Saudi Arabia or draw
locked · 127h 17m before kickoff
What happened
Spain beat Saudi Arabia 4-0. Goals: L. Yamal (10'), M. Oyarzabal (21'), M. Oyarzabal (24'), H. Al-Tambakti (49', a.g.).
The market priced Spain as favorite at 89.1% — it held. The final score carried a 11.4% model probability.
The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.
What the market said before kickoff
Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Spain at 89.1% — it held.
Best odds per outcome · Matchbook
What the model said about the score
These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 4-0 (the model gave it 11.4%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.
Spain – Saudi Arabia
- 3–015.0%
- 2–014.6%
- 4–011.5%
Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (3.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.
How the line moved
Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.
Spain85.4% → 87.2%▲ 1.8
Draw10.5% → 9.1%▼ 1.4
Saudi Arabia4.1% → 3.7%▼ 0.4
25 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed
Edgely's pick
All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.
★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·
Recent form
Spain
Goals: 0.0 for · 0.0 against (avg)
Saudi Arabia
Goals: 1.0 for · 1.0 against (avg)
Group standings
Group H
- 1Spain3+57
- 2
Cape Verde Islands303 - 3
Uruguay3-12 - 4Saudi Arabia3-42
Players to watch
Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.
Spain
Aymeric Laporte
Defender · Athletic Club
7.74
at the World Cup
0+1
G+A
Rodri
Midfielder · Manchester City
7.71
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
Pedro Porro
Defender · Tottenham
7.67
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
Saudi Arabia
Mohammed Al Owais
Goalkeeper · Saudi Arabia
7.37
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
Khalid Al Ghannam
Attacker · Al-Ettifaq
7.27
Pro League
13+6
G+A
Sultan Mandash
Attacker · Al Taawon
7.2
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
FAQ
What was the final score of Spain vs Saudi Arabia?+
It ended Spain 4-0 Saudi Arabia at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: L. Yamal (10'), M. Oyarzabal (21'), M. Oyarzabal (24'), H. Al-Tambakti (49').
Who was the favorite in Spain vs Saudi Arabia?+
The market had Spain as favorite at 89.1% implied probability — the favorite held.
When was Spain vs Saudi Arabia played?+
It was played on Sunday 21 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.
Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+
Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.
More World Cup predictions
- Prediction: Spain vs Belgium () →
- Prediction: Norway vs England () →
- Prediction: Argentina vs Switzerland () →
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