Spain vs Saudi Arabia
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Spain
Saudi Arabia
Match analysis view — no locked pick
Model prediction
Saudi Arabia wins
or double chance X2
Spain – Saudi Arabia
- 3–015.0%
- 2–014.6%
- 4–011.5%
Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (3.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.
Spain
Aymeric Laporte
Defender · Athletic Club
7.74
at the World Cup
0+1
G+A
Rodri
Midfielder · Manchester City
7.71
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
Pedro Porro
Defender · Tottenham
7.67
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
Saudi Arabia
Mohammed Al Owais
Goalkeeper · Saudi Arabia
7.37
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
Khalid Al Ghannam
Attacker · Al-Ettifaq
7.27
Pro League
13+6
G+A
Sultan Mandash
Attacker · Al Taawon
7.2
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
Overall analysis · win probability
89.1%
1
Spain
8.1%
X
Empate
2.9%
2
Saudi Arabia
Ventaja: Spain (+81.0%)
Recommendation
Double chance: Saudi Arabia or draw
Confidence: ★★★★★ · 100% prob
Team comparison
Breakdown by dimension
50%
Spain
Form
vs
50%
Saudi Arabia
0%
Spain
Attack
vs
50%
Saudi Arabia
100%
Spain
Defense
vs
50%
Saudi Arabia
50%
Spain
Goals
vs
50%
Saudi Arabia
100%
Spain
H2H
vs
0%
Saudi Arabia
0%
Spain
Poisson
vs
63%
Saudi Arabia