Result: Paraguay 0-0 Australia
World Cup 2026 ·
Paraguay
Australia
✓ Pick WON — Australia or draw
locked · 257h 17m before kickoff
What happened
Paraguay drew with Australia 0-0.
The market priced Draw as favorite at 43.5% — it held. The final score carried a 13.7% model probability.
The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.
What the market said before kickoff
Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Draw at 43.5% — it held.
Best odds per outcome · Matchbook
What the model said about the score
These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 0-0 (the model gave it 13.7%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.
Paraguay – Australia
- 1–014.7%
- 0–013.7%
- 1–113.5%
Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (1.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.
How the line moved
Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.
Paraguay43.4% → 32.6%▼ 10.8
Draw29.2% → 43.3%▲ 14.1
Australia27.4% → 24.1%▼ 3.3
28 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed
Edgely's pick
All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.
★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·
Recent form
Paraguay
Goals: 1.0 for · 2.0 against (avg)
Australia
Goals: 1.0 for · 1.0 against (avg)
Group standings
Group D
- 1
USA3+46 - 2Australia304
- 3Paraguay3-24
- 4
Türkiye3-23
Players to watch
Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.
Paraguay
O. Gill
Goalkeeper · San Lorenzo
7.6
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
J. Canale
Defender · Lanus
7.14
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
F. Balbuena
Defender · Gremio
7.13
Serie A
1+0
G+A
Australia
P. Beach
Goalkeeper · Melbourne City
7.43
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
A. Circati
Defender · Parma
7.42
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
J. Irvine
Midfielder · FC St. Pauli
7.25
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
FAQ
What was the final score of Paraguay vs Australia?+
It ended Paraguay 0-0 Australia at the 2026 World Cup.
Who was the favorite in Paraguay vs Australia?+
The market had Draw as favorite at 43.5% implied probability — the favorite held.
When was Paraguay vs Australia played?+
It was played on Friday 26 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.
Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+
Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.
More World Cup predictions
- Prediction: Spain vs Belgium () →
- Prediction: Norway vs England () →
- Prediction: Argentina vs Switzerland () →
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