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Norway vs England Prediction

World Cup 2026 · (your time)

WORLDCUP · 28h 44m
Norway

Norway

VS
England

England

📺 Broadcast (US): FOX · Telemundo · FOX One

▶ YOUTUBEThe first 10 minutes of every match stream free on the official broadcasters' channels.

Who's favored? (market probabilities)

Implied probabilities from the best available odds, bookmaker margin removed. England starts as favorite at 51.5%.

England
51.5%
1.93
Draw
25.8%
3.85
Norway
22.6%
4.40

Best odds per outcome · Matchbook

Correct score: top 3 most likely

We translate market odds into expected goals and from there into each scoreline's probability. Useful for sizing up the match — no exact score is ever 'safe'.

Norway – England

  1. 1–1
    11.1%
  2. 0–1
    10.0%
  3. 1–2
    9.8%
Both teams score: 55.4%Over 2.5 goals: 54.5%Expected goals: 2.9

Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.

How the line moved

Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.

6/7today

Norway24.8% → 23%▼ 1.8

Draw26.5% → 25.8%▼ 0.7

England48.6% → 51.1%▲ 2.5

5 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed

Compare odds across books+

Norway

Matchbook 4.40Betfair 4.40LowVig.ag 4.30BetOnline.ag 4.301xBet 4.29

Draw

Unibet (FR) 3.851xBet 3.81Betclic (FR) 3.80Matchbook 3.80Betfair 3.80

England

Matchbook 1.93Betfair 1.93GTbets 1.93Unibet (NL) 1.93Unibet (SE) 1.93

The gap between best and worst odds is your money — always shop the line.

Edgely's pick

PropSee free with account
★★★★★
PropSee free with account
★★★★
totalSee free with account
★★★★+41.5%
PropSee free with account
★★★★

All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.

★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·

Recent form

Norway

WWLWW

Goals: 2.4 for · 1.8 against (avg)

England

WDWWW

Goals: 2.2 for · 1.0 against (avg)

Full stats & AI analysis →

Players to watch

Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.

Norway

  • E. Haaland

    E. Haaland

    Attacker · Manchester City

    8.35

    at the World Cup

    7+0

    G+A

  • T. Aasgaard

    T. Aasgaard

    Midfielder · Rangers

    7.9

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • J. Hauge

    J. Hauge

    Midfielder · Bodo/Glimt

    7.64

    Eliteserien

    14+9

    G+A

England

  • J. Bellingham

    J. Bellingham

    Midfielder · Real Madrid

    7.82

    at the World Cup

    4+1

    G+A

  • H. Kane

    H. Kane

    Attacker · Bayern München

    7.6

    at the World Cup

    6+1

    G+A

  • E. Anderson

    E. Anderson

    Midfielder · Nottingham Forest

    7.4

    at the World Cup

    0+1

    G+A

FAQ

Who is the favorite in Norway vs England?+

Per market odds, England is the favorite with a 51.5% implied probability (odds 1.93).

What is the most likely score for Norway vs England?+

Per the goals implied by market odds (Poisson distribution), the most likely score is Norway 1-1 England at 11.1% probability. Note: even the most likely scoreline sits around 10-15% — it's decision info, not a promise.

When do Norway and England play?+

This World Cup 2026 match kicks off Saturday 11 July 2026 (21:00 UTC). This page shows the time converted to your timezone, with a countdown.

Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+

Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.

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