Result: Ivory Coast 1-0 Ecuador
World Cup 2026 ·
Ivory Coast
Ecuador
✓ Pick WON — Ivory Coast
locked · 168h 13m before kickoff
What happened
Ivory Coast beat Ecuador 1-0. Goals: A. Diallo (90').
The market priced Ecuador as favorite at 37.8% — it didn't hold. The final score carried a 12.2% model probability.
The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.
What the market said before kickoff
Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Ecuador at 37.8% — it didn't hold.
Best odds per outcome · Matchbook
What the model said about the score
These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 1-0 (the model gave it 12.2%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.
Ivory Coast – Ecuador
- 0–114.5%
- 1–113.4%
- 0–013.3%
Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (1.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.
How the line moved
Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.
Ivory Coast26.7% → 28.7%▲ 2
Draw32.2% → 33.7%▲ 1.5
Ecuador41.1% → 37.7%▼ 3.4
18 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed
Edgely's pick
All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.
★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·
Group standings
Group E
- 1
Germany3+66 - 2Ivory Coast3+26
- 3Ecuador304
- 4
Curaçao3-81
Players to watch
Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.
Ivory Coast
I. Sangaré
Midfielder · Nottingham Forest
7.67
at the World Cup
0+1
G+A
Y. Diomande
Midfielder · RB Leipzig
7.59
at the World Cup
0+1
G+A
A. Diallo
Attacker · Manchester United
7.29
at the World Cup
2+0
G+A
Ecuador
G. Valle
Goalkeeper · LDU de Quito
7.63
CONMEBOL Libertadores
0+0
G+A
M. Caicedo
Midfielder · Chelsea
7.5
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
P. Vite
Midfielder · U.N.A.M. - Pumas
7.48
at the World Cup
0+1
G+A
FAQ
What was the final score of Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?+
It ended Ivory Coast 1-0 Ecuador at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: A. Diallo (90').
Who was the favorite in Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?+
The market had Ecuador as favorite at 37.8% implied probability — the favorite didn't hold.
When was Ivory Coast vs Ecuador played?+
It was played on Sunday 14 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.
Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+
Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.
More World Cup predictions
- Prediction: Spain vs Belgium () →
- Prediction: Norway vs England () →
- Prediction: Argentina vs Switzerland () →
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