Ecuador vs Germany
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Ecuador
Germany
Match analysis view — no locked pick
Model prediction
Germany wins
or double chance X2
Ecuador – Germany
- 1–111.2%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–29.7%
Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.
Ecuador
G. Valle
Goalkeeper · LDU de Quito
7.63
CONMEBOL Libertadores
0+0
G+A
M. Caicedo
Midfielder · Chelsea
7.5
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
P. Vite
Midfielder · U.N.A.M. - Pumas
7.48
at the World Cup
0+1
G+A
Germany
N. Schlotterbeck
Defender · Borussia Dortmund
7.9
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
F. Wirtz
Midfielder · Liverpool
7.75
at the World Cup
0+3
G+A
N. Amiri
Midfielder · FSV Mainz 05
7.45
Bundesliga
17+3
G+A
Overall analysis · win probability
24.6%
1
Ecuador
22.9%
X
Empate
52.5%
2
Germany
Ventaja: Germany (+27.9%)
Recommendation
Double chance: Germany or draw
Confidence: ★★★★★ · 100% prob
Team comparison
Breakdown by dimension
25%
Ecuador
Form
vs
100%
Germany
0%
Ecuador
Attack
vs
100%
Germany
75%
Ecuador
Defense
vs
50%
Germany
38%
Ecuador
Goals
vs
100%
Germany
50%
Ecuador
H2H
vs
0%
Germany
0%
Ecuador
Poisson
vs
99%
Germany