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Spain vs Belgium

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WORLDCUP · FIFA World Cup 2026
·2h 9m
Spain

Spain

VS
Belgium

Belgium

Match analysis view — no locked pick

AnalysisOddsStatisticsMatch info

Model prediction

Belgium wins

or double chance X2

55%·★★★★☆Belgium

Spain – Belgium

  1. 1–2
    7.5%
  2. 2–2
    6.8%
  3. 1–3
    6.5%
Both teams score: 77.3%Over 2.5 goals: 81.5%Expected goals: 4.4

Poisson distribution over each team's goal averages. Transparent method — not a promise.

Spain

  • Aymeric Laporte

    Aymeric Laporte

    Defender · Athletic Club

    7.74

    at the World Cup

    0+1

    G+A

  • Rodri

    Rodri

    Midfielder · Manchester City

    7.71

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

  • Pedro Porro

    Pedro Porro

    Defender · Tottenham

    7.67

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

Belgium

  • L. Trossard

    L. Trossard

    Midfielder · Arsenal

    7.72

    at the World Cup

    2+2

    G+A

  • Y. Tielemans

    Y. Tielemans

    Midfielder · Aston Villa

    7.48

    at the World Cup

    2+0

    G+A

  • N. Raskin

    N. Raskin

    Midfielder · Rangers

    7.34

    at the World Cup

    0+2

    G+A

Overall analysis · win probability

26.3%

1

Spain

18.5%

X

Empate

55.2%

2

Belgium

Ventaja: Belgium (+28.9%)

Recommendation

No draw: either side wins

Confidence: ★★★★★ · 82% prob

Team comparison

FormAttackDefenseGoalsHistoricalPoisson
SpainBelgium

Breakdown by dimension

90%

Spain

Form

vs

80%

Belgium

90%

Spain

Attack

vs

100%

Belgium

100%

Spain

Defense

vs

50%

Belgium

95%

Spain

Goals

vs

90%

Belgium

100%

Spain

H2H

vs

20%

Belgium

26%

Spain

Poisson

vs

55%

Belgium