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Result: Uzbekistan 1-3 Colombia

World Cup 2026 ·

WORLDCUPFT
Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan

1–3
Colombia

Colombia

✓ Pick WON — Colombia

locked · 143h 16m before kickoff

Full track record →

What happened

Uzbekistan fell to Colombia 1-3. Goals: D. Muñoz (40'), A. Fayzullaev (60'), L. Díaz (65'), J. Campaz (90'+9').

The market priced Colombia as favorite at 70.5% — it held. The final score carried a 6.1% model probability.

The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.

What the market said before kickoff

Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Colombia at 70.5% — it held.

Colombia
70.5%
1.42
Draw
20%
5.00
Uzbekistan
9.5%
10.50

Best odds per outcome · GTbets

What the model said about the score

These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 1-3 (the model gave it 6.1%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.

Uzbekistan – Colombia

  1. 0–2
    14.7%
  2. 0–1
    14.4%
  3. 0–3
    10.0%
Both teams score: 39.7%Over 2.5 goals: 49.3%Expected goals: 2.6

Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.

How the line moved

Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.

28/5today

Uzbekistan11.8% → 10.1%▼ 1.7

Draw21% → 20%▼ 1

Colombia67.1% → 69.9%▲ 2.8

21 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed

Edgely's pick

ResultColombia
✓ GANADO★★★★+5.8%1.43

All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.

★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·

Group standings

Group K

  1. 1ColombiaColombia3+37
  2. 2PortugalPortugal3+55
  3. 3Congo DRCongo DR3+14
  4. 4UzbekistanUzbekistan3-90

Players to watch

Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.

Uzbekistan

  • A. Ulmasaliev

    A. Ulmasaliev

    Defender · Olmaliq

    7.36

    Super League

    2+0

    G+A

  • A. Fayzullaev

    A. Fayzullaev

    Attacker · Başakşehir

    6.87

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • A. Ganiyev

    A. Ganiyev

    Attacker · Al Bataeh

    6.75

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

Colombia

  • J. Quintero

    J. Quintero

    Midfielder · America de Cali

    7.49

    at the World Cup

    0+1

    G+A

  • J. Campaz

    J. Campaz

    Midfielder · Rosario Central

    7.44

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • S. Arias

    S. Arias

    Defender · Bahia

    7.3

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

FAQ

What was the final score of Uzbekistan vs Colombia?+

It ended Uzbekistan 1-3 Colombia at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: D. Muñoz (40'), A. Fayzullaev (60'), L. Díaz (65'), J. Campaz (90'+9').

Who was the favorite in Uzbekistan vs Colombia?+

The market had Colombia as favorite at 70.5% implied probability — the favorite held.

When was Uzbekistan vs Colombia played?+

It was played on Thursday 18 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.

Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+

Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.

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