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Result: Switzerland 2-1 Canada

World Cup 2026 ·

WORLDCUPFT
Switzerland

Switzerland

2–1
Canada

Canada

✓ Pick WON — no draw

locked · 250h 17m before kickoff

Full track record →

What happened

Switzerland beat Canada 2-1. Goals: R. Vargas (46'), J. Manzambi (57'), P. David (76').

The market priced Switzerland as favorite at 40.5% — it held. The final score carried a 8.8% model probability.

The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.

What the market said before kickoff

Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Switzerland at 40.5% — it held.

Switzerland
40.5%
2.46
Draw
31.1%
3.20
Canada
28.4%
3.50

Best odds per outcome · Matchbook

What the model said about the score

These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 2-1 (the model gave it 8.8%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.

Switzerland – Canada

  1. 1–1
    12.6%
  2. 1–0
    11.1%
  3. 0–1
    9.1%
Both teams score: 50.9%Over 2.5 goals: 46.2%Expected goals: 2.5

Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.

How the line moved

Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.

28/5today

Switzerland46.8% → 40.5%▼ 6.3

Draw27.9% → 30.7%▲ 2.8

Canada25.3% → 28.8%▲ 3.5

28 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed

Edgely's pick

Propno draw
✓ GANADO★★★★1.45
Propover 0.5 1h
✗ PERDIDO★★★★1.32
totalover 2.5
✓ GANADO★★★★+59.0%2.20
Propbtts yes
✓ GANADO★★★★1.44

All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.

★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·

Recent form

Switzerland

DW

Goals: 2.5 for · 1.0 against (avg)

Canada

DW

Goals: 3.5 for · 0.5 against (avg)

Full stats & AI analysis →

Group standings

Group B

  1. 1SwitzerlandSwitzerland3+47
  2. 2CanadaCanada3+54
  3. 3Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina3-14
  4. 4QatarQatar3-81

Players to watch

Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.

Switzerland

  • J. Manzambi

    J. Manzambi

    Attacker · SC Freiburg

    7.87

    at the World Cup

    3+2

    G+A

  • G. Kobel

    G. Kobel

    Goalkeeper · Borussia Dortmund

    7.79

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

  • G. Xhaka

    G. Xhaka

    Midfielder · Sunderland

    7.68

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

Canada

  • S. Eustáquio

    S. Eustáquio

    Midfielder · FC Porto

    7.93

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • R. Laryea

    R. Laryea

    Defender · Toronto FC

    7.41

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

  • N. Saliba

    N. Saliba

    Midfielder · Anderlecht

    7.33

    at the World Cup

    1+2

    G+A

FAQ

What was the final score of Switzerland vs Canada?+

It ended Switzerland 2-1 Canada at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: R. Vargas (46'), J. Manzambi (57'), P. David (76').

Who was the favorite in Switzerland vs Canada?+

The market had Switzerland as favorite at 40.5% implied probability — the favorite held.

When was Switzerland vs Canada played?+

It was played on Wednesday 24 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.

Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+

Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.

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