Result: Switzerland 4-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina
World Cup 2026 ·
Switzerland
Bosnia & Herzegovina
✓ Pick WON — Switzerland
locked · 160h 16m before kickoff
What happened
Switzerland beat Bosnia & Herzegovina 4-1.
The market priced Switzerland as favorite at 61.9% — it held. The final score carried a 2.6% model probability.
The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.
What the market said before kickoff
Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Switzerland at 61.9% — it held.
Best odds per outcome · Betfair
What the model said about the score
These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 4-1 (the model gave it 2.6%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.
Switzerland – Bosnia & Herzegovina
- 1–013.9%
- 2–012.5%
- 1–110.5%
Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.
How the line moved
Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.
Switzerland60.5% → 61.4%▲ 0.9
Draw23.2% → 23.4%▲ 0.2
Bosnia & Herzegovina16.4% → 15.2%▼ 1.2
22 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed
Edgely's pick
All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.
★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·
Recent form
Switzerland
Goals: 1.0 for · 1.0 against (avg)
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Goals: 1.0 for · 1.0 against (avg)
Group standings
Group B
- 1Switzerland3+47
- 2
Canada3+54 - 3Bosnia & Herzegovina3-14
- 4
Qatar3-81
Players to watch
Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.
Switzerland
J. Manzambi
Attacker · SC Freiburg
7.87
at the World Cup
3+2
G+A
G. Kobel
Goalkeeper · Borussia Dortmund
7.79
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
G. Xhaka
Midfielder · Sunderland
7.68
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
Bosnia & Herzegovina
I. Basic
Midfielder · Bosnia-Herzegovina U21
7.51
at the World Cup
0+1
G+A
J. Lukic
Attacker · Universitatea Cluj
7.31
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
N. Katic
Defender · FC Schalke 04
6.93
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
FAQ
What was the final score of Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?+
It ended Switzerland 4-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina at the 2026 World Cup.
Who was the favorite in Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?+
The market had Switzerland as favorite at 61.9% implied probability — the favorite held.
When was Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina played?+
It was played on Thursday 18 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.
Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+
Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.
More World Cup predictions
- Prediction: Spain vs Belgium () →
- Prediction: Norway vs England () →
- Prediction: Argentina vs Switzerland () →
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