Result: Spain 0-0 Cape Verde
World Cup 2026 ·
Spain
Cape Verde
✗ Pick LOST — Over
locked · 391h 41m before kickoff
What happened
Spain drew with Cape Verde 0-0.
The market priced Spain as favorite at 91.3% — it didn't hold. The final score carried a 2.6% model probability.
The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.
What the market said before kickoff
Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Spain at 91.3% — it didn't hold.
Best odds per outcome · Nordic Bet
What the model said about the score
These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 0-0 (the model gave it 2.6%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.
Spain – Cape Verde
- 3–015.6%
- 2–014.3%
- 4–012.8%
Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (3.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.
How the line moved
Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.
Spain87.3% → 89.3%▲ 2
Draw9.1% → 7.4%▼ 1.7
Cape Verde3.7% → 3.3%▼ 0.4
19 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed
Edgely's pick
All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.
★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·
Players to watch
Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.
Spain
Aymeric Laporte
Defender · Athletic Club
7.74
at the World Cup
0+1
G+A
Rodri
Midfielder · Manchester City
7.71
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
Pedro Porro
Defender · Tottenham
7.67
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
FAQ
What was the final score of Spain vs Cape Verde?+
It ended Spain 0-0 Cape Verde at the 2026 World Cup.
Who was the favorite in Spain vs Cape Verde?+
The market had Spain as favorite at 91.3% implied probability — the favorite didn't hold.
When was Spain vs Cape Verde played?+
It was played on Monday 15 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.
Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+
Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.
More World Cup predictions
- Prediction: Spain vs Belgium () →
- Prediction: Norway vs England () →
- Prediction: Argentina vs Switzerland () →
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