Result: South Africa 1-0 South Korea
World Cup 2026 ·
South Africa
South Korea
✗ Pick LOST — South Korea or draw
locked · 232h 17m before kickoff
What happened
South Africa beat South Korea 1-0. Goals: T. Maseko (63').
The market priced South Korea as favorite at 58.8% — it didn't hold. The final score carried a 6.4% model probability.
The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.
What the market said before kickoff
Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was South Korea at 58.8% — it didn't hold.
Best odds per outcome · 1xBet
What the model said about the score
These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 1-0 (the model gave it 6.4%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.
South Africa – South Korea
- 0–113.8%
- 0–211.9%
- 1–111.1%
Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.
How the line moved
Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.
South Africa26.6% → 17.4%▼ 9.2
Draw28.6% → 25%▼ 3.6
South Korea44.8% → 57.6%▲ 12.8
28 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed
Edgely's pick
All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.
★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·
Recent form
South Africa
Goals: 0.5 for · 1.5 against (avg)
South Korea
Goals: 1.0 for · 1.0 against (avg)
Group standings
Group A
- 1
Mexico3+69 - 2South Africa3-14
- 3South Korea3-13
- 4
Czechia3-41
Players to watch
Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.
South Africa
S. Kabini
Defender · Molde
7.33
Eliteserien
1+3
G+A
T. Matuludi
Defender · Polokwane City
7.32
Premier Soccer League
2+0
G+A
K. Sebelebele
Midfielder · Orlando Pirates
7.26
Premier Soccer League
5+1
G+A
South Korea
Lee Dong-Gyeong
Attacker · Gimcheon Sangmu FC
7.86
K League 1
9+7
G+A
Song Bum-Keun
Goalkeeper · Jeonbuk Motors
7.46
K League 1
0+0
G+A
Hwang In-Beom
Midfielder · Feyenoord
7.43
at the World Cup
1+1
G+A
FAQ
What was the final score of South Africa vs South Korea?+
It ended South Africa 1-0 South Korea at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: T. Maseko (63').
Who was the favorite in South Africa vs South Korea?+
The market had South Korea as favorite at 58.8% implied probability — the favorite didn't hold.
When was South Africa vs South Korea played?+
It was played on Thursday 25 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.
Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+
Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.
More World Cup predictions
- Prediction: Spain vs Belgium () →
- Prediction: Norway vs England () →
- Prediction: Argentina vs Switzerland () →
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