Result: Saudi Arabia 1-1 Uruguay
World Cup 2026 ·
Saudi Arabia
Uruguay
✗ Pick LOST — Uruguay
locked · 191h 13m before kickoff
What happened
Saudi Arabia drew with Uruguay 1-1. Goals: A. Al-Amri (41'), M. Araújo (80').
The market priced Uruguay as favorite at 66.9% — it didn't hold. The final score carried a 9.7% model probability.
The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.
What the market said before kickoff
Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Uruguay at 66.9% — it didn't hold.
Best odds per outcome · Matchbook
What the model said about the score
These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 1-1 (the model gave it 9.7%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.
Saudi Arabia – Uruguay
- 0–115.2%
- 0–214.3%
- 1–19.7%
Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.
How the line moved
Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.
Saudi Arabia15.1% → 12%▼ 3.1
Draw22.4% → 22.1%▼ 0.3
Uruguay62.4% → 65.8%▲ 3.4
19 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed
Edgely's pick
All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.
★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·
Group standings
Group H
- 1
Spain3+57 - 2
Cape Verde Islands303 - 3Uruguay3-12
- 4Saudi Arabia3-42
Players to watch
Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.
Saudi Arabia
Mohammed Al Owais
Goalkeeper · Saudi Arabia
7.37
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
Khalid Al Ghannam
Attacker · Al-Ettifaq
7.27
Pro League
13+6
G+A
Sultan Mandash
Attacker · Al Taawon
7.2
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
Uruguay
G. de Arrascaeta
Midfielder · Flamengo
7.73
Serie A
31+24
G+A
M. Araújo
Midfielder · Sporting CP
7.41
at the World Cup
2+1
G+A
R. Zalazar
Midfielder · SC Braga
7.31
Primeira Liga
18+6
G+A
FAQ
What was the final score of Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?+
It ended Saudi Arabia 1-1 Uruguay at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: A. Al-Amri (41'), M. Araújo (80').
Who was the favorite in Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?+
The market had Uruguay as favorite at 66.9% implied probability — the favorite didn't hold.
When was Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay played?+
It was played on Monday 15 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.
Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+
Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.
More World Cup predictions
- Prediction: Spain vs Belgium () →
- Prediction: Norway vs England () →
- Prediction: Argentina vs Switzerland () →
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