Result: Qatar 1-1 Switzerland
World Cup 2026 ·
Qatar
Switzerland
✗ Pick LOST — Over
locked · 398h 35m before kickoff
What happened
Qatar drew with Switzerland 1-1. Goals: B. Embolo (17', pen), M. Muheim (90'+4', a.g.).
The market priced Switzerland as favorite at 80.3% — it didn't hold. The final score carried a 6.4% model probability.
The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.
What the market said before kickoff
Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Switzerland at 80.3% — it didn't hold.
Best odds per outcome · Winamax (DE)
What the model said about the score
These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 1-1 (the model gave it 6.4%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.
Qatar – Switzerland
- 0–215.0%
- 0–312.6%
- 0–112.0%
Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.
How the line moved
Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.
Qatar9.4% → 6.9%▼ 2.5
Draw16.8% → 14.3%▼ 2.5
Switzerland73.7% → 78.9%▲ 5.2
17 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed
Edgely's pick
All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.
★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·
Group standings
Group B
- 1Switzerland3+47
- 2
Canada3+54 - 3
Bosnia & Herzegovina3-14 - 4Qatar3-81
Players to watch
Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.
Qatar
Akram Afif
Attacker · Al Sadd
7.15
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
Hassan Al Haydos
Attacker · Al Sadd
7.15
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
Lucas Mendes
Defender · Al Wakrah
7.09
Stars League
1+1
G+A
Switzerland
J. Manzambi
Attacker · SC Freiburg
7.87
at the World Cup
3+2
G+A
G. Kobel
Goalkeeper · Borussia Dortmund
7.79
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
G. Xhaka
Midfielder · Sunderland
7.68
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
FAQ
What was the final score of Qatar vs Switzerland?+
It ended Qatar 1-1 Switzerland at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: B. Embolo (17'), M. Muheim (90'+4').
Who was the favorite in Qatar vs Switzerland?+
The market had Switzerland as favorite at 80.3% implied probability — the favorite didn't hold.
When was Qatar vs Switzerland played?+
It was played on Saturday 13 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.
Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+
Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.
More World Cup predictions
- Prediction: Spain vs Belgium () →
- Prediction: Norway vs England () →
- Prediction: Argentina vs Switzerland () →
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