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Result: Portugal 5-0 Uzbekistan

World Cup 2026 ·

WORLDCUPFT
Portugal

Portugal

5–0
Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan

✓ Pick WON — Portugal or draw

locked · 128h 17m before kickoff

Full track record →

What happened

Portugal beat Uzbekistan 5-0. Goals: C. Ronaldo (6'), N. Mendes (17'), C. Ronaldo (39'), A. Nematov (60', a.g.), R. Leão (87').

The market priced Portugal as favorite at 85.4% — it held. The final score carried a 5.5% model probability.

The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.

What the market said before kickoff

Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Portugal at 85.4% — it held.

Portugal
85.4%
1.19
Draw
10.8%
9.40
Uzbekistan
3.8%
27.00

Best odds per outcome · GTbets

What the model said about the score

These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 5-0 (the model gave it 5.5%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.

Portugal – Uzbekistan

  1. 2–0
    14.9%
  2. 3–0
    14.0%
  3. 1–0
    10.5%
Both teams score: 35.5%Over 2.5 goals: 64.0%Expected goals: 3.3

Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (3.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.

How the line moved

Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.

28/5today

Portugal77.8% → 83.4%▲ 5.6

Draw14.4% → 11.6%▼ 2.8

Uzbekistan7.8% → 5%▼ 2.8

27 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed

Edgely's pick

PropPortugal or draw
✓ GANADO★★★★★1.22
totalOver
✓ GANADO★★★★+7.2%1.60

All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.

★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·

Recent form

Portugal

D

Goals: 1.0 for · 1.0 against (avg)

Uzbekistan

L

Goals: 1.0 for · 3.0 against (avg)

Full stats & AI analysis →

Group standings

Group K

  1. 1ColombiaColombia3+37
  2. 2PortugalPortugal3+55
  3. 3Congo DRCongo DR3+14
  4. 4UzbekistanUzbekistan3-90

Players to watch

Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.

Portugal

  • Gonçalo Inácio

    Gonçalo Inácio

    Defender · Sporting CP

    7.59

    Primeira Liga

    3+3

    G+A

  • Bruno Fernandes

    Bruno Fernandes

    Midfielder · Manchester United

    7.58

    at the World Cup

    0+1

    G+A

  • Nuno Mendes

    Nuno Mendes

    Defender · Paris Saint Germain

    7.49

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

Uzbekistan

  • A. Ulmasaliev

    A. Ulmasaliev

    Defender · Olmaliq

    7.36

    Super League

    2+0

    G+A

  • A. Fayzullaev

    A. Fayzullaev

    Attacker · Başakşehir

    6.87

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • A. Ganiyev

    A. Ganiyev

    Attacker · Al Bataeh

    6.75

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

FAQ

What was the final score of Portugal vs Uzbekistan?+

It ended Portugal 5-0 Uzbekistan at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: C. Ronaldo (6'), N. Mendes (17'), C. Ronaldo (39'), A. Nematov (60'), R. Leão (87').

Who was the favorite in Portugal vs Uzbekistan?+

The market had Portugal as favorite at 85.4% implied probability — the favorite held.

When was Portugal vs Uzbekistan played?+

It was played on Tuesday 23 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.

Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+

Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.

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