Result: Panama 0-1 Croatia
World Cup 2026 ·
Panama
Croatia
✓ Pick WON — no draw
locked · 134h 17m before kickoff
What happened
Panama fell to Croatia 0-1. Goals: A. Budimir (54').
The market priced Croatia as favorite at 64.6% — it held. The final score carried a 11.6% model probability.
The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.
What the market said before kickoff
Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Croatia at 64.6% — it held.
Best odds per outcome · 1xBet
What the model said about the score
These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 0-1 (the model gave it 11.6%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.
Panama – Croatia
- 0–211.8%
- 0–111.6%
- 1–29.8%
Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.
How the line moved
Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.
Panama14.4% → 13.7%▼ 0.7
Draw23.4% → 22.3%▼ 1.1
Croatia62.3% → 64%▲ 1.7
27 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed
Edgely's pick
All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.
★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·
Recent form
Panama
Goals: 0.0 for · 1.0 against (avg)
Croatia
Goals: 2.0 for · 4.0 against (avg)
Group standings
Group L
- 1
England3+47 - 2Croatia306
- 3
Ghana304 - 4Panama3-40
Players to watch
Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.
Panama
A. Godoy
Midfielder · San Diego
7.13
Major League Soccer
1+1
G+A
C. Yanis
Midfielder · Cobresal
7.12
Primera División
1+4
G+A
C. Samudio
Goalkeeper · CD Marathon
7.1
Liga Nacional
0+0
G+A
Croatia
P. Sucic
Midfielder · Inter
7.21
at the World Cup
1+1
G+A
P. Musa
Attacker · FC Dallas
7.18
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
M. Baturina
Midfielder · Como
7.17
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
FAQ
What was the final score of Panama vs Croatia?+
It ended Panama 0-1 Croatia at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: A. Budimir (54').
Who was the favorite in Panama vs Croatia?+
The market had Croatia as favorite at 64.6% implied probability — the favorite held.
When was Panama vs Croatia played?+
It was played on Tuesday 23 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.
Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+
Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.
More World Cup predictions
- Prediction: Spain vs Belgium () →
- Prediction: Norway vs England () →
- Prediction: Argentina vs Switzerland () →
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