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Result: Norway 3-2 Senegal

World Cup 2026 ·

WORLDCUPFT
Norway

Norway

3–2
Senegal

Senegal

✓ Pick WON — Norway or draw

locked · 135h 17m before kickoff

Full track record →

What happened

Norway beat Senegal 3-2. Goals: M. Holmgren Pedersen (43'), E. Haaland (48'), I. Sarr (53'), E. Haaland (58'), I. Sarr (90'+3').

The market priced Norway as favorite at 43.2% — it held. The final score carried a 2.7% model probability.

The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.

What the market said before kickoff

Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Norway at 43.2% — it held.

Norway
43.2%
2.31
Senegal
29.4%
3.40
Draw
27.4%
3.65

Best odds per outcome · GTbets

What the model said about the score

These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 3-2 (the model gave it 2.7%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.

Norway – Senegal

  1. 1–1
    12.1%
  2. 1–0
    10.1%
  3. 2–1
    9.1%
Both teams score: 54.1%Over 2.5 goals: 50.4%Expected goals: 2.7

Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.

How the line moved

Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.

28/5today

Norway45% → 43.2%▼ 1.8

Draw28.1% → 27.3%▼ 0.8

Senegal26.9% → 29.4%▲ 2.5

26 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed

Edgely's pick

PropNorway or draw
✓ GANADO★★★★★1.07
Propover 0.5 1h
✓ GANADO★★★★★1.22

All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.

★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·

Recent form

Norway

W

Goals: 4.0 for · 1.0 against (avg)

Senegal

L

Goals: 1.0 for · 3.0 against (avg)

Full stats & AI analysis →

Group standings

Group I

  1. 1FranceFrance3+89
  2. 2NorwayNorway3+16
  3. 3SenegalSenegal3+23
  4. 4IraqIraq3-110

Players to watch

Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.

Norway

  • E. Haaland

    E. Haaland

    Attacker · Manchester City

    8.35

    at the World Cup

    7+0

    G+A

  • T. Aasgaard

    T. Aasgaard

    Midfielder · Rangers

    7.9

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • J. Hauge

    J. Hauge

    Midfielder · Bodo/Glimt

    7.64

    Eliteserien

    14+9

    G+A

Senegal

  • I. Sarr

    I. Sarr

    Attacker · Crystal Palace

    7.76

    at the World Cup

    4+1

    G+A

  • H. Diarra

    H. Diarra

    Attacker · Sunderland

    7.28

    at the World Cup

    2+0

    G+A

  • I. Gueye

    I. Gueye

    Midfielder · Everton

    7.19

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

FAQ

What was the final score of Norway vs Senegal?+

It ended Norway 3-2 Senegal at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: M. Holmgren Pedersen (43'), E. Haaland (48'), I. Sarr (53'), E. Haaland (58'), I. Sarr (90'+3').

Who was the favorite in Norway vs Senegal?+

The market had Norway as favorite at 43.2% implied probability — the favorite held.

When was Norway vs Senegal played?+

It was played on Tuesday 23 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.

Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+

Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.

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