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Result: Norway 1-4 France

World Cup 2026 ·

WORLDCUPFT
Norway

Norway

1–4
France

France

✓ Pick WON — no draw

locked · 226h 17m before kickoff

Full track record →

What happened

Norway fell to France 1-4. Goals: O. Dembélé (7'), O. Dembélé (20'), T. Aasgaard (21'), O. Dembélé (32'), D. Doué (90'+4').

The market priced France as favorite at 59.3% — it held. The final score carried a 3.1% model probability.

The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.

What the market said before kickoff

Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was France at 59.3% — it held.

France
59.3%
1.73
Draw
20.9%
4.90
Norway
19.7%
5.20

Best odds per outcome · 1xBet

What the model said about the score

These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 1-4 (the model gave it 3.1%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.

Norway – France

  1. 1–1
    10.3%
  2. 0–1
    10.1%
  3. 1–2
    10.0%
Both teams score: 54.6%Over 2.5 goals: 56.7%Expected goals: 3.0

Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.

How the line moved

Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.

28/5today

Norway19% → 20.3%▲ 1.3

Draw25.5% → 22.5%▼ 3

France55.5% → 57.2%▲ 1.7

28 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed

Edgely's pick

Propno draw
✓ GANADO★★★★★1.23
Propbtts yes
✓ GANADO★★★★★1.26
Propover 0.5 1h
✓ GANADO★★★★★1.22

All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.

★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·

Recent form

Norway

WW

Goals: 3.5 for · 1.5 against (avg)

France

WW

Goals: 3.0 for · 0.5 against (avg)

Full stats & AI analysis →

Group standings

Group I

  1. 1FranceFrance3+89
  2. 2NorwayNorway3+16
  3. 3SenegalSenegal3+23
  4. 4IraqIraq3-110

Players to watch

Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.

Norway

  • E. Haaland

    E. Haaland

    Attacker · Manchester City

    8.35

    at the World Cup

    7+0

    G+A

  • T. Aasgaard

    T. Aasgaard

    Midfielder · Rangers

    7.9

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • J. Hauge

    J. Hauge

    Midfielder · Bodo/Glimt

    7.64

    Eliteserien

    14+9

    G+A

France

  • Kylian Mbappé

    Kylian Mbappé

    Attacker · Real Madrid

    8.3

    at the World Cup

    8+3

    G+A

  • O. Dembélé

    O. Dembélé

    Midfielder · Paris Saint Germain

    7.96

    at the World Cup

    5+2

    G+A

  • A. Tchouaméni

    A. Tchouaméni

    Midfielder · Real Madrid

    7.53

    at the World Cup

    0+1

    G+A

FAQ

What was the final score of Norway vs France?+

It ended Norway 1-4 France at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: O. Dembélé (7'), O. Dembélé (20'), T. Aasgaard (21'), O. Dembélé (32'), D. Doué (90'+4').

Who was the favorite in Norway vs France?+

The market had France as favorite at 59.3% implied probability — the favorite held.

When was Norway vs France played?+

It was played on Friday 26 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.

Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+

Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.

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