Result: Morocco 4-2 Haiti
World Cup 2026 ·
Morocco
Haiti
✓ Pick WON — Morocco or draw
locked · 253h 17m before kickoff
What happened
Morocco beat Haiti 4-2. Goals: Y. Bounou (10', a.g.), A. Hakimi (39'), W. Isidor (43'), I. Saibari (45'+1'), S. Rahimi (78'), G. Yassine (89').
The market priced Morocco as favorite at 82.3% — it held. The final score carried a 1.3% model probability.
The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.
What the market said before kickoff
Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Morocco at 82.3% — it held.
Best odds per outcome · GTbets
What the model said about the score
These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 4-2 (the model gave it 1.3%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.
Morocco – Haiti
- 2–014.1%
- 3–012.7%
- 1–010.5%
Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (3.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.
How the line moved
Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.
Morocco70.9% → 81.2%▲ 10.3
Draw18.4% → 12.9%▼ 5.5
Haiti10.7% → 5.9%▼ 4.8
28 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed
Edgely's pick
All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.
★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·
Recent form
Morocco
Goals: 1.0 for · 0.5 against (avg)
Haiti
Goals: 0.0 for · 2.0 against (avg)
Group standings
Group C
- 1
Brazil3+67 - 2Morocco3+37
- 3
Scotland3-33 - 4Haiti3-60
Players to watch
Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.
Morocco
A. Amaimouni
Midfielder · Hoffenheim II
7.68
3. Liga
5+7
G+A
A. Ezzalzouli
Midfielder · Real Betis
7.32
La Liga
16+13
G+A
A. Ounahi
Midfielder · Girona
7.24
at the World Cup
2+0
G+A
Haiti
D. Jean-Jacques
Midfielder · Philadelphia Union
6.87
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
W. Paugain
Defender · Zulte Waregem
6.82
Jupiler Pro League
1+0
G+A
J. Bellegarde
Midfielder · Wolves
6.8
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
FAQ
What was the final score of Morocco vs Haiti?+
It ended Morocco 4-2 Haiti at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: Y. Bounou (10'), A. Hakimi (39'), W. Isidor (43'), I. Saibari (45'+1'), S. Rahimi (78'), G. Yassine (89').
Who was the favorite in Morocco vs Haiti?+
The market had Morocco as favorite at 82.3% implied probability — the favorite held.
When was Morocco vs Haiti played?+
It was played on Wednesday 24 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.
Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+
Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.
More World Cup predictions
- Prediction: Spain vs Belgium () →
- Prediction: Norway vs England () →
- Prediction: Argentina vs Switzerland () →
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