Result: Jordan 1-3 Argentina
World Cup 2026 ·
Jordan
Argentina
✓ Pick WON — Argentina or draw
locked · 233h 17m before kickoff
What happened
Jordan fell to Argentina 1-3. Goals: G. Lo Celso (19'), L. Martínez (31', pen), M. Al-Tamari (55'), L. Messi (80').
The market priced Argentina as favorite at 82.3% — it held. The final score carried a 6.6% model probability.
The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.
What the market said before kickoff
Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Argentina at 82.3% — it held.
Best odds per outcome · 1xBet
What the model said about the score
These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 1-3 (the model gave it 6.6%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.
Jordan – Argentina
- 0–215.3%
- 0–313.3%
- 0–111.8%
Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.
How the line moved
Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.
Jordan7% → 6.4%▼ 0.6
Draw12.8% → 13.4%▲ 0.6
Argentina80.3% → 80.2%▼ 0.1
26 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed
Edgely's pick
All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.
★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·
Recent form
Jordan
Goals: 1.0 for · 2.5 against (avg)
Argentina
Goals: 2.5 for · 0.0 against (avg)
Group standings
Group J
- 1Argentina3+79
- 2
Austria304 - 3
Algeria3-24 - 4Jordan3-50
Players to watch
Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.
Jordan
Abdallah Al Fakhouri
Goalkeeper · Al Wihdat
7.1
AFC Champions League Two
0+0
G+A
Saed Al Rosan
Defender · Al Hussein
6.95
AFC Champions League Two
0+0
G+A
Rajaei Ayed
Midfielder · Al Hussein
6.95
AFC Champions League Two
0+0
G+A
Argentina
L. Messi
Attacker · Inter Miami
9.36
at the World Cup
8+1
G+A
G. Lo Celso
Midfielder · Real Betis
7.9
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
Lisandro Martínez
Defender · Manchester United
7.72
at the World Cup
1+1
G+A
FAQ
What was the final score of Jordan vs Argentina?+
It ended Jordan 1-3 Argentina at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: G. Lo Celso (19'), L. Martínez (31'), M. Al-Tamari (55'), L. Messi (80').
Who was the favorite in Jordan vs Argentina?+
The market had Argentina as favorite at 82.3% implied probability — the favorite held.
When was Jordan vs Argentina played?+
It was played on Sunday 28 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.
Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+
Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.
More World Cup predictions
- Prediction: Spain vs Belgium () →
- Prediction: Norway vs England () →
- Prediction: Argentina vs Switzerland () →
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