Result: Iraq 1-4 Norway
World Cup 2026 ·
Iraq
Norway
✗ Pick LOST — Draw
locked · 115h 16m before kickoff
What happened
Iraq fell to Norway 1-4. Goals: E. Haaland (29'), A. Hussein (39'), E. Haaland (43'), L. Østigard (76'), A. Hussein (90'+6', a.g.).
The market priced Norway as favorite at 81.8% — it held. The final score carried a 4.3% model probability.
The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.
What the market said before kickoff
Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Norway at 81.8% — it held.
Best odds per outcome · William Hill
What the model said about the score
These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 1-4 (the model gave it 4.3%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.
Iraq – Norway
- 0–215.1%
- 0–313.0%
- 0–111.7%
Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.
How the line moved
Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.
Iraq8.4% → 6.4%▼ 2
Draw15.1% → 13.7%▼ 1.4
Norway76.5% → 79.9%▲ 3.4
20 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed
Edgely's pick
All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.
★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·
Group standings
Group I
- 1
France3+89 - 2Norway3+16
- 3
Senegal3+23 - 4Iraq3-110
Players to watch
Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.
Iraq
A. Sher
Midfielder · Sarpsborg 08 FF
7.14
Eliteserien
0+1
G+A
Aymen Hussein
Attacker · Iraq
7.07
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
Kevin Yakob
Midfielder · Iraq
6.84
King's Cup
7+5
G+A
Norway
E. Haaland
Attacker · Manchester City
8.35
at the World Cup
7+0
G+A
T. Aasgaard
Midfielder · Rangers
7.9
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
J. Hauge
Midfielder · Bodo/Glimt
7.64
Eliteserien
14+9
G+A
FAQ
What was the final score of Iraq vs Norway?+
It ended Iraq 1-4 Norway at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: E. Haaland (29'), A. Hussein (39'), E. Haaland (43'), L. Østigard (76'), A. Hussein (90'+6').
Who was the favorite in Iraq vs Norway?+
The market had Norway as favorite at 81.8% implied probability — the favorite held.
When was Iraq vs Norway played?+
It was played on Tuesday 16 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.
Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+
Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.
More World Cup predictions
- Prediction: Spain vs Belgium () →
- Prediction: Norway vs England () →
- Prediction: Argentina vs Switzerland () →
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