Result: Haiti 0-1 Scotland
World Cup 2026 ·
Haiti
Scotland
✓ Pick WON — Under
locked · 404h 42m before kickoff
What happened
Haiti fell to Scotland 0-1. Goals: J. McGinn (28').
The market priced Scotland as favorite at 63.2% — it held. The final score carried a 11.4% model probability.
The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.
What the market said before kickoff
Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Scotland at 63.2% — it held.
Best odds per outcome · Matchbook
What the model said about the score
These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 0-1 (the model gave it 11.4%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.
Haiti – Scotland
- 0–111.4%
- 0–211.4%
- 1–19.9%
Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.
How the line moved
Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.
Haiti13.5% → 16%▲ 2.5
Draw20.3% → 21.9%▲ 1.6
Scotland66.1% → 62%▼ 4.1
17 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed
Edgely's pick
All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.
★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·
Group standings
Group C
- 1
Brazil3+67 - 2
Morocco3+37 - 3Scotland3-33
- 4Haiti3-60
Players to watch
Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.
Haiti
D. Jean-Jacques
Midfielder · Philadelphia Union
6.87
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
W. Paugain
Defender · Zulte Waregem
6.82
Jupiler Pro League
1+0
G+A
J. Bellegarde
Midfielder · Wolves
6.8
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
Scotland
L. Ferguson
Midfielder · Bologna
7.7
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
A. Gunn
Goalkeeper · Nottingham Forest
7.47
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
Findlay Curtis
Attacker · Kilmarnock
7.32
Premiership
7+4
G+A
FAQ
What was the final score of Haiti vs Scotland?+
It ended Haiti 0-1 Scotland at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: J. McGinn (28').
Who was the favorite in Haiti vs Scotland?+
The market had Scotland as favorite at 63.2% implied probability — the favorite held.
When was Haiti vs Scotland played?+
It was played on Sunday 14 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.
Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+
Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.
More World Cup predictions
- Prediction: Spain vs Belgium () →
- Prediction: Norway vs England () →
- Prediction: Argentina vs Switzerland () →
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