Result: Ghana 1-0 Panama
World Cup 2026 ·
Ghana
Panama
✓ Pick WON — Ghana
locked · 140h 16m before kickoff
What happened
Ghana beat Panama 1-0. Goals: C. Yirenkyi (90'+5').
The market priced Ghana as favorite at 41.4% — it held. The final score carried a 12.6% model probability.
The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.
What the market said before kickoff
Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Ghana at 41.4% — it held.
Best odds per outcome · 1xBet
What the model said about the score
These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 1-0 (the model gave it 12.6%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.
Ghana – Panama
- 1–113.0%
- 1–012.6%
- 0–110.1%
Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.
How the line moved
Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.
Ghana47.2% → 41.7%▼ 5.5
Draw27% → 29.2%▲ 2.2
Panama25.9% → 29.1%▲ 3.2
21 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed
Edgely's pick
All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.
★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·
Group standings
Group L
- 1
England3+47 - 2
Croatia306 - 3Ghana304
- 4Panama3-40
Players to watch
Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.
Ghana
L. Zigi
Goalkeeper · FC ST. Gallen
8.57
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
C. Bonsu Baah
Attacker · Al-Qadisiyah FC
7.26
Pro League
3+12
G+A
D. Luckassen
Defender
7.25
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
Panama
A. Godoy
Midfielder · San Diego
7.13
Major League Soccer
1+1
G+A
C. Yanis
Midfielder · Cobresal
7.12
Primera División
1+4
G+A
C. Samudio
Goalkeeper · CD Marathon
7.1
Liga Nacional
0+0
G+A
FAQ
What was the final score of Ghana vs Panama?+
It ended Ghana 1-0 Panama at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: C. Yirenkyi (90'+5').
Who was the favorite in Ghana vs Panama?+
The market had Ghana as favorite at 41.4% implied probability — the favorite held.
When was Ghana vs Panama played?+
It was played on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.
Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+
Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.
More World Cup predictions
- Prediction: Spain vs Belgium () →
- Prediction: Norway vs England () →
- Prediction: Argentina vs Switzerland () →
18+ · Edgely sells analysis, we don't process bets. If you bet, do it responsibly.