Result: Germany 2-1 Ivory Coast
World Cup 2026 ·
Germany
Ivory Coast
✓ Pick WON — Germany or draw
locked · 131h 17m before kickoff
What happened
Germany beat Ivory Coast 2-1. Goals: F. Kessié (30'), D. Undav (68'), D. Undav (90'+4').
The market priced Germany as favorite at 64.1% — it held. The final score carried a 9.9% model probability.
The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.
What the market said before kickoff
Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Germany at 64.1% — it held.
Best odds per outcome · 1xBet
What the model said about the score
These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 2-1 (the model gave it 9.9%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.
Germany – Ivory Coast
- 2–09.9%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.0%
Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (3.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.
How the line moved
Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.
Germany60.7% → 63.1%▲ 2.4
Draw22.2% → 20.8%▼ 1.4
Ivory Coast17.1% → 16.2%▼ 0.9
24 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed
Edgely's pick
All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.
★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·
Recent form
Germany
Goals: 7.0 for · 1.0 against (avg)
Ivory Coast
Goals: 1.0 for · 0.0 against (avg)
Group standings
Group E
- 1Germany3+66
- 2Ivory Coast3+26
- 3
Ecuador304 - 4
Curaçao3-81
Players to watch
Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.
Germany
N. Schlotterbeck
Defender · Borussia Dortmund
7.9
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
F. Wirtz
Midfielder · Liverpool
7.75
at the World Cup
0+3
G+A
N. Amiri
Midfielder · FSV Mainz 05
7.45
Bundesliga
17+3
G+A
Ivory Coast
I. Sangaré
Midfielder · Nottingham Forest
7.67
at the World Cup
0+1
G+A
Y. Diomande
Midfielder · RB Leipzig
7.59
at the World Cup
0+1
G+A
A. Diallo
Attacker · Manchester United
7.29
at the World Cup
2+0
G+A
FAQ
What was the final score of Germany vs Ivory Coast?+
It ended Germany 2-1 Ivory Coast at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: F. Kessié (30'), D. Undav (68'), D. Undav (90'+4').
Who was the favorite in Germany vs Ivory Coast?+
The market had Germany as favorite at 64.1% implied probability — the favorite held.
When was Germany vs Ivory Coast played?+
It was played on Saturday 20 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.
Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+
Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.
More World Cup predictions
- Prediction: Spain vs Belgium () →
- Prediction: Norway vs England () →
- Prediction: Argentina vs Switzerland () →
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