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Result: Germany 7-1 Curaçao

World Cup 2026 ·

WORLDCUPFT
Germany

Germany

7–1
Curaçao

Curaçao

✓ Pick WON — Over

locked · 344h 42m before kickoff

Full track record →

What happened

Germany beat Curaçao 7-1. Goals: F. Nmecha (6'), L. Comenencia (21'), N. Schlotterbeck (38'), K. Havertz (45'+5', pen), J. Musiala (47'), N. Brown (68'), D. Undav (78'), K. Havertz (88').

The market priced Germany as favorite at 94.9% — it held. The final score carried a 1.6% model probability.

The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.

What the market said before kickoff

Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Germany at 94.9% — it held.

Germany
94.9%
1.06
Draw
4%
25.00
Curaçao
1.1%
90.00

Best odds per outcome · Matchbook

What the model said about the score

These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 7-1 (the model gave it 1.6%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.

Germany – Curaçao

  1. 4–0
    14.0%
  2. 3–0
    13.9%
  3. 5–0
    11.3%
Both teams score: 31.4%Over 2.5 goals: 81.8%Expected goals: 4.4

Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (4.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.

How the line moved

Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.

28/5today

Germany92.3% → 92.2%▼ 0.1

Draw5.6% → 5.4%▼ 0.2

Curaçao2.1% → 2.4%▲ 0.3

18 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed

Edgely's pick

totalOver
✓ GANADO★★★★+21.8%2.10
SpreadGermany
✓ GANADO★★★+18.8%1.98

All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.

★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·

Group standings

Group E

  1. 1GermanyGermany3+66
  2. 2Ivory CoastIvory Coast3+26
  3. 3EcuadorEcuador304
  4. 4CuraçaoCuraçao3-81

Players to watch

Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.

Germany

  • N. Schlotterbeck

    N. Schlotterbeck

    Defender · Borussia Dortmund

    7.9

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • F. Wirtz

    F. Wirtz

    Midfielder · Liverpool

    7.75

    at the World Cup

    0+3

    G+A

  • N. Amiri

    N. Amiri

    Midfielder · FSV Mainz 05

    7.45

    Bundesliga

    17+3

    G+A

Curaçao

  • K. Felida

    K. Felida

    Midfielder · Den Bosch

    7.3

    Eerste Divisie

    4+3

    G+A

  • E. Room

    E. Room

    Goalkeeper · Cercle Brugge

    7.23

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

  • J. Margaritha

    J. Margaritha

    Attacker · Phoenix Rising

    6.98

    US Open Cup

    19+17

    G+A

FAQ

What was the final score of Germany vs Curaçao?+

It ended Germany 7-1 Curaçao at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: F. Nmecha (6'), L. Comenencia (21'), N. Schlotterbeck (38'), K. Havertz (45'+5'), J. Musiala (47'), N. Brown (68'), D. Undav (78'), K. Havertz (88').

Who was the favorite in Germany vs Curaçao?+

The market had Germany as favorite at 94.9% implied probability — the favorite held.

When was Germany vs Curaçao played?+

It was played on Sunday 14 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.

Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+

Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.

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