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Result: France 3-0 Iraq

World Cup 2026 ·

WORLDCUPFT
France

France

3–0
Iraq

Iraq

✓ Pick WON — France or draw

locked · 132h 17m before kickoff

Full track record →

What happened

France beat Iraq 3-0. Goals: K. Mbappé (14'), K. Mbappé (54'), O. Dembélé (66').

The market priced France as favorite at 90.9% — it held. The final score carried a 14.3% model probability.

The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.

What the market said before kickoff

Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was France at 90.9% — it held.

France
90.9%
1.11
Draw
6.7%
15.00
Iraq
2.4%
42.00

Best odds per outcome · Nordic Bet

What the model said about the score

These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 3-0 (the model gave it 14.3%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.

France – Iraq

  1. 3–0
    14.6%
  2. 2–0
    13.0%
  3. 4–0
    12.3%
Both teams score: 33.6%Over 2.5 goals: 73.0%Expected goals: 3.8

Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (3.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.

How the line moved

Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.

28/5today

France84.1% → 89.3%▲ 5.2

Draw11.8% → 7.8%▼ 4

Iraq4.1% → 2.9%▼ 1.2

26 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed

Edgely's pick

PropFrance or draw
✓ GANADO★★★★★1.07
Propover 0.5 1h
✓ GANADO★★★★★1.22
SpreadFrance
✓ GANADO★★★★+16.5%2.08
totalOver
✗ PERDIDO★★★+19.1%2.29

All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.

★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·

Recent form

France

W

Goals: 3.0 for · 1.0 against (avg)

Iraq

L

Goals: 1.0 for · 4.0 against (avg)

Full stats & AI analysis →

Group standings

Group I

  1. 1FranceFrance3+89
  2. 2NorwayNorway3+16
  3. 3SenegalSenegal3+23
  4. 4IraqIraq3-110

Players to watch

Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.

France

  • Kylian Mbappé

    Kylian Mbappé

    Attacker · Real Madrid

    8.3

    at the World Cup

    8+3

    G+A

  • O. Dembélé

    O. Dembélé

    Midfielder · Paris Saint Germain

    7.96

    at the World Cup

    5+2

    G+A

  • A. Tchouaméni

    A. Tchouaméni

    Midfielder · Real Madrid

    7.53

    at the World Cup

    0+1

    G+A

Iraq

  • A. Sher

    A. Sher

    Midfielder · Sarpsborg 08 FF

    7.14

    Eliteserien

    0+1

    G+A

  • Aymen Hussein

    Aymen Hussein

    Attacker · Iraq

    7.07

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • Kevin Yakob

    Kevin Yakob

    Midfielder · Iraq

    6.84

    King's Cup

    7+5

    G+A

FAQ

What was the final score of France vs Iraq?+

It ended France 3-0 Iraq at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: K. Mbappé (14'), K. Mbappé (54'), O. Dembélé (66').

Who was the favorite in France vs Iraq?+

The market had France as favorite at 90.9% implied probability — the favorite held.

When was France vs Iraq played?+

It was played on Monday 22 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.

Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+

Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.

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