Result: Czech Republic 1-1 South Africa
World Cup 2026 ·
Czech Republic
South Africa
✗ Pick LOST — Czech Republic
locked · 157h 16m before kickoff
What happened
Czech Republic drew with South Africa 1-1. Goals: M. Sadílek (6'), T. Mokoena (83', pen).
The market priced Czech Republic as favorite at 51.5% — it didn't hold. The final score carried a 12.0% model probability.
The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.
What the market said before kickoff
Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Czech Republic at 51.5% — it didn't hold.
Best odds per outcome · Betfair
What the model said about the score
These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 1-1 (the model gave it 12.0%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.
Czech Republic – South Africa
- 1–013.0%
- 1–112.0%
- 2–010.1%
Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.
How the line moved
Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.
Czech Republic47.1% → 51.2%▲ 4.1
Draw29.4% → 26.6%▼ 2.8
South Africa23.5% → 22.3%▼ 1.2
22 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed
Edgely's pick
All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.
★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·
Recent form
Czechia
Goals: 1.0 for · 2.0 against (avg)
South Africa
Goals: 0.0 for · 2.0 against (avg)
Group standings
Group A
- 1
Mexico3+69 - 2South Africa3-14
- 3
South Korea3-13 - 4Czechia3-41
Players to watch
Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.
Czech Republic
D. Jurásek
Defender · Slavia Praha
7.38
Czech Liga
1+6
G+A
T. Chorý
Attacker · Slavia Praha
7.28
Czech Liga
17+4
G+A
M. Sadílek
Midfielder · Slavia Praha
7.07
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
South Africa
S. Kabini
Defender · Molde
7.33
Eliteserien
1+3
G+A
T. Matuludi
Defender · Polokwane City
7.32
Premier Soccer League
2+0
G+A
K. Sebelebele
Midfielder · Orlando Pirates
7.26
Premier Soccer League
5+1
G+A
FAQ
What was the final score of Czech Republic vs South Africa?+
It ended Czech Republic 1-1 South Africa at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: M. Sadílek (6'), T. Mokoena (83').
Who was the favorite in Czech Republic vs South Africa?+
The market had Czech Republic as favorite at 51.5% implied probability — the favorite didn't hold.
When was Czech Republic vs South Africa played?+
It was played on Thursday 18 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.
Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+
Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.
More World Cup predictions
- Prediction: Spain vs Belgium () →
- Prediction: Norway vs England () →
- Prediction: Argentina vs Switzerland () →
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