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Result: Czech Republic 0-3 Mexico

World Cup 2026 ·

WORLDCUPFT
Czech Republic

Czech Republic

0–3
Mexico

Mexico

✓ Pick WON — Mexico or draw

locked · 232h 17m before kickoff

Full track record →

What happened

Czech Republic fell to Mexico 0-3. Goals: M. Chávez (55'), J. Quiñones (61'), Á. Fidalgo (90'+4').

The market priced Mexico as favorite at 50.2% — it held. The final score carried a 4.8% model probability.

The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.

What the market said before kickoff

Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Mexico at 50.2% — it held.

Mexico
50.2%
2.00
Czech Republic
25.1%
4.00
Draw
24.8%
4.05

Best odds per outcome · GTbets

What the model said about the score

These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 0-3 (the model gave it 4.8%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.

Czech Republic – Mexico

  1. 0–1
    12.2%
  2. 1–1
    12.2%
  3. 0–2
    9.4%
Both teams score: 49.5%Over 2.5 goals: 46.3%Expected goals: 2.5

Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.

How the line moved

Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.

28/5today

Czech Republic24.6% → 25.1%▲ 0.5

Draw28.2% → 24.8%▼ 3.4

Mexico47.2% → 50%▲ 2.8

28 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed

Edgely's pick

PropMexico or draw
✓ GANADO★★★★★1.09
totalover 1.5
✓ GANADO★★★★1.40
Propbtts no
✓ GANADO★★★★1.44

All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.

★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·

Recent form

Czechia

LD

Goals: 1.0 for · 1.5 against (avg)

Mexico

WW

Goals: 1.5 for · 0.0 against (avg)

Full stats & AI analysis →

Group standings

Group A

  1. 1MexicoMexico3+69
  2. 2South AfricaSouth Africa3-14
  3. 3South KoreaSouth Korea3-13
  4. 4CzechiaCzechia3-41

Players to watch

Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.

Czech Republic

  • D. Jurásek

    D. Jurásek

    Defender · Slavia Praha

    7.38

    Czech Liga

    1+6

    G+A

  • T. Chorý

    T. Chorý

    Attacker · Slavia Praha

    7.28

    Czech Liga

    17+4

    G+A

  • M. Sadílek

    M. Sadílek

    Midfielder · Slavia Praha

    7.07

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

Mexico

  • M. Chávez

    M. Chávez

    Defender · AZ Alkmaar

    8.2

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • J. Quiñones

    J. Quiñones

    Midfielder · Al-Qadisiyah FC

    7.73

    at the World Cup

    4+1

    G+A

  • A. Vega

    A. Vega

    Attacker · Toluca

    7.57

    Liga MX

    4+14

    G+A

FAQ

What was the final score of Czech Republic vs Mexico?+

It ended Czech Republic 0-3 Mexico at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: M. Chávez (55'), J. Quiñones (61'), Á. Fidalgo (90'+4').

Who was the favorite in Czech Republic vs Mexico?+

The market had Mexico as favorite at 50.2% implied probability — the favorite held.

When was Czech Republic vs Mexico played?+

It was played on Thursday 25 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.

Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+

Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.

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