Edgely
Log in

Result: Colombia 1-0 DR Congo

World Cup 2026 ·

WORLDCUPFT
Colombia

Colombia

1–0
DR Congo

DR Congo

What happened

Colombia beat DR Congo 1-0.

The market priced Colombia as favorite at 62.8% — it held. The final score carried a 15.7% model probability.

The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.

What the market said before kickoff

Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Colombia at 62.8% — it held.

Colombia
62.8%
1.59
Draw
23.8%
4.20
DR Congo
13.5%
7.40

Best odds per outcome · Matchbook

What the model said about the score

These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 1-0 (the model gave it 15.7%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.

Colombia – DR Congo

  1. 1–0
    15.7%
  2. 2–0
    13.6%
  3. 1–1
    10.5%
Both teams score: 40.1%Over 2.5 goals: 43.2%Expected goals: 2.4

Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.

How the line moved

Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.

28/5today

Colombia62.5% → 62.1%▼ 0.4

Draw23.5% → 23.7%▲ 0.2

DR Congo14% → 14.2%▲ 0.2

27 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed

Edgely's pick

This match had no pick: the auto-analyst didn't find enough edge. Not forcing picks is part of the discipline too.

Players to watch

Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.

Colombia

  • J. Quintero

    J. Quintero

    Midfielder · America de Cali

    7.49

    at the World Cup

    0+1

    G+A

  • J. Campaz

    J. Campaz

    Midfielder · Rosario Central

    7.44

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • S. Arias

    S. Arias

    Defender · Bahia

    7.3

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

FAQ

What was the final score of Colombia vs DR Congo?+

It ended Colombia 1-0 DR Congo at the 2026 World Cup.

Who was the favorite in Colombia vs DR Congo?+

The market had Colombia as favorite at 62.8% implied probability — the favorite held.

When was Colombia vs DR Congo played?+

It was played on Wednesday 24 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.

Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+

Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.

More World Cup predictions

See the full World Cup hub →

18+ · Edgely sells analysis, we don't process bets. If you bet, do it responsibly.