Result: Canada 6-0 Qatar
World Cup 2026 ·
Canada
Qatar
✓ Pick WON — Canada
locked · 163h 16m before kickoff
What happened
Canada beat Qatar 6-0. Goals: C. Larin (16'), J. David (29'), J. David (45'+3'), N. Saliba (64'), M. Manai (75', a.g.), J. David (90'+2').
The market priced Canada as favorite at 76.1% — it held. The final score carried a 1.2% model probability.
The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.
What the market said before kickoff
Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Canada at 76.1% — it held.
Best odds per outcome · 1xBet
What the model said about the score
These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 6-0 (the model gave it 1.2%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.
Canada – Qatar
- 2–014.8%
- 1–012.8%
- 3–011.3%
Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.
How the line moved
Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.
Canada65.2% → 75%▲ 9.8
Draw22.3% → 16.7%▼ 5.6
Qatar12.5% → 8.3%▼ 4.2
22 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed
Edgely's pick
All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.
★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·
Recent form
Canada
Goals: 1.0 for · 1.0 against (avg)
Qatar
Goals: 1.0 for · 1.0 against (avg)
Group standings
Group B
- 1
Switzerland3+47 - 2Canada3+54
- 3
Bosnia & Herzegovina3-14 - 4Qatar3-81
Players to watch
Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.
Canada
S. Eustáquio
Midfielder · FC Porto
7.93
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
R. Laryea
Defender · Toronto FC
7.41
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
N. Saliba
Midfielder · Anderlecht
7.33
at the World Cup
1+2
G+A
Qatar
Akram Afif
Attacker · Al Sadd
7.15
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
Hassan Al Haydos
Attacker · Al Sadd
7.15
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
Lucas Mendes
Defender · Al Wakrah
7.09
Stars League
1+1
G+A
FAQ
What was the final score of Canada vs Qatar?+
It ended Canada 6-0 Qatar at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: C. Larin (16'), J. David (29'), J. David (45'+3'), N. Saliba (64'), M. Manai (75'), J. David (90'+2').
Who was the favorite in Canada vs Qatar?+
The market had Canada as favorite at 76.1% implied probability — the favorite held.
When was Canada vs Qatar played?+
It was played on Thursday 18 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.
Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+
Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.
More World Cup predictions
- Prediction: Spain vs Belgium () →
- Prediction: Norway vs England () →
- Prediction: Argentina vs Switzerland () →
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