Result: Canada 1-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina
World Cup 2026 ·
Canada
Bosnia & Herzegovina
✗ Pick LOST — Canada
locked · 116h 13m before kickoff
What happened
Canada drew with Bosnia & Herzegovina 1-1.
The market priced Canada as favorite at 52.4% — it didn't hold. The final score carried a 12.0% model probability.
The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.
What the market said before kickoff
Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Canada at 52.4% — it didn't hold.
Best odds per outcome · Matchbook
What the model said about the score
These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 1-1 (the model gave it 12.0%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.
Canada – Bosnia & Herzegovina
- 1–013.9%
- 1–112.0%
- 2–010.7%
Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.
How the line moved
Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.
Canada51.5% → 52.1%▲ 0.6
Draw26.2% → 27.2%▲ 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina22.2% → 20.7%▼ 1.5
16 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed
Edgely's pick
All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.
★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·
Group standings
Group B
- 1
Switzerland3+47 - 2Canada3+54
- 3Bosnia & Herzegovina3-14
- 4
Qatar3-81
Players to watch
Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.
Canada
S. Eustáquio
Midfielder · FC Porto
7.93
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
R. Laryea
Defender · Toronto FC
7.41
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
N. Saliba
Midfielder · Anderlecht
7.33
at the World Cup
1+2
G+A
Bosnia & Herzegovina
I. Basic
Midfielder · Bosnia-Herzegovina U21
7.51
at the World Cup
0+1
G+A
J. Lukic
Attacker · Universitatea Cluj
7.31
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
N. Katic
Defender · FC Schalke 04
6.93
at the World Cup
0+0
G+A
FAQ
What was the final score of Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?+
It ended Canada 1-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina at the 2026 World Cup.
Who was the favorite in Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?+
The market had Canada as favorite at 52.4% implied probability — the favorite didn't hold.
When was Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina played?+
It was played on Friday 12 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.
Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+
Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.
More World Cup predictions
- Prediction: Spain vs Belgium () →
- Prediction: Norway vs England () →
- Prediction: Argentina vs Switzerland () →
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