Result: Brazil 1-1 Morocco
World Cup 2026 ·
Brazil
Morocco
✗ Pick LOST — Brazil
locked · 143h 13m before kickoff
What happened
Brazil drew with Morocco 1-1. Goals: I. Saibari (21'), Vinícius Júnior (32').
The market priced Brazil as favorite at 58.3% — it didn't hold. The final score carried a 11.1% model probability.
The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.
What the market said before kickoff
Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Brazil at 58.3% — it didn't hold.
Best odds per outcome · Matchbook
What the model said about the score
These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 1-1 (the model gave it 11.1%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.
Brazil – Morocco
- 1–013.6%
- 2–011.7%
- 1–111.1%
Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (2.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.
How the line moved
Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.
Brazil58.8% → 57.3%▼ 1.5
Draw24.3% → 25.1%▲ 0.8
Morocco16.9% → 17.6%▲ 0.7
17 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed
Edgely's pick
All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.
★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·
Group standings
Group C
- 1Brazil3+67
- 2Morocco3+37
- 3
Scotland3-33 - 4
Haiti3-60
Players to watch
Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.
Brazil
Vinícius Júnior
Attacker · Real Madrid
8.04
at the World Cup
4+1
G+A
Casemiro
Midfielder · Manchester United
7.49
at the World Cup
1+0
G+A
Matheus Cunha
Attacker · Manchester United
7.47
at the World Cup
3+0
G+A
Morocco
A. Amaimouni
Midfielder · Hoffenheim II
7.68
3. Liga
5+7
G+A
A. Ezzalzouli
Midfielder · Real Betis
7.32
La Liga
16+13
G+A
A. Ounahi
Midfielder · Girona
7.24
at the World Cup
2+0
G+A
FAQ
What was the final score of Brazil vs Morocco?+
It ended Brazil 1-1 Morocco at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: I. Saibari (21'), Vinícius Júnior (32').
Who was the favorite in Brazil vs Morocco?+
The market had Brazil as favorite at 58.3% implied probability — the favorite didn't hold.
When was Brazil vs Morocco played?+
It was played on Saturday 13 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.
Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+
Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.
More World Cup predictions
- Prediction: Spain vs Belgium () →
- Prediction: Norway vs England () →
- Prediction: Argentina vs Switzerland () →
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