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Result: Brazil 3-0 Haiti

World Cup 2026 ·

WORLDCUPFT
Brazil

Brazil

3–0
Haiti

Haiti

✓ Pick WON — Brazil or draw

locked · 136h 17m before kickoff

Full track record →

What happened

Brazil beat Haiti 3-0. Goals: M. Cunha (23'), M. Cunha (36'), Vinícius Júnior (45'+3').

The market priced Brazil as favorite at 88.5% — it held. The final score carried a 13.1% model probability.

The pick's outcome is above and is audited into the public record.

What the market said before kickoff

Pre-kickoff implied probabilities, bookmaker margin removed. The favorite was Brazil at 88.5% — it held.

Brazil
88.5%
1.14
Draw
7.9%
12.80
Haiti
3.6%
28.00

Best odds per outcome · Nordic Bet

What the model said about the score

These were the most likely scorelines before kickoff per market odds. It ended 3-0 (the model gave it 13.1%) — that's what real match uncertainty looks like.

Brazil – Haiti

  1. 3–0
    13.4%
  2. 2–0
    12.4%
  3. 4–0
    10.8%
Both teams score: 39.3%Over 2.5 goals: 72.6%Expected goals: 3.8

Poisson distribution over the goals implied by market odds (3.5 line + no-vig 1X2). Transparent method — not a promise.

How the line moved

Each outcome's implied probability since the match entered our system. A strong market move is information too.

28/5today

Brazil89.2% → 87.1%▼ 2.1

Draw8.1% → 8.7%▲ 0.6

Haiti2.7% → 4.2%▲ 1.5

23 days of data · daily median across books, vig removed

Edgely's pick

PropBrazil or draw
✓ GANADO★★★★★1.22
totalOver
✗ PERDIDO★★★★+9.7%1.77
SpreadBrazil
✗ PERDIDO★★★+21.0%2.24

All picks locked with a timestamp before kickoff — auditable in the public record.

★ = analysis confidence (1-5) · +X% ·

Recent form

Brazil

D

Goals: 1.0 for · 1.0 against (avg)

Haiti

L

Goals: 0.0 for · 1.0 against (avg)

Full stats & AI analysis →

Group standings

Group C

  1. 1BrazilBrazil3+67
  2. 2MoroccoMorocco3+37
  3. 3ScotlandScotland3-33
  4. 4HaitiHaiti3-60

Players to watch

Each side's highest-level players by actual performance: World Cup rating once they've played, otherwise their club season. Club and league stay visible so you can weigh them — a 7.2 doesn't mean the same in every league.

Brazil

  • Vinícius Júnior

    Vinícius Júnior

    Attacker · Real Madrid

    8.04

    at the World Cup

    4+1

    G+A

  • Casemiro

    Casemiro

    Midfielder · Manchester United

    7.49

    at the World Cup

    1+0

    G+A

  • Matheus Cunha

    Matheus Cunha

    Attacker · Manchester United

    7.47

    at the World Cup

    3+0

    G+A

Haiti

  • D. Jean-Jacques

    D. Jean-Jacques

    Midfielder · Philadelphia Union

    6.87

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

  • W. Paugain

    W. Paugain

    Defender · Zulte Waregem

    6.82

    Jupiler Pro League

    1+0

    G+A

  • J. Bellegarde

    J. Bellegarde

    Midfielder · Wolves

    6.8

    at the World Cup

    0+0

    G+A

FAQ

What was the final score of Brazil vs Haiti?+

It ended Brazil 3-0 Haiti at the 2026 World Cup. Goals: M. Cunha (23'), M. Cunha (36'), Vinícius Júnior (45'+3').

Who was the favorite in Brazil vs Haiti?+

The market had Brazil as favorite at 88.5% implied probability — the favorite held.

When was Brazil vs Haiti played?+

It was played on Saturday 20 June 2026 at the 2026 World Cup.

Is Edgely's pick for this match trustworthy?+

Every pick is frozen with a timestamp BEFORE kickoff and enters the public record — win or lose. No retroactive edits: you can audit the full history at /track.

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